<p>This question is well suited for some data! I took my Broadway alumni data and calculated a metric that attempts to quantify “up and comers”. This could be essentially done by comparing the fresh, young, and total numbers in my original post, but this list quantifies it.</p>
<p>Roughly, the numbers below represent the increase or decrease in alumni on Broadway per class over more recent years. Exactly, the number is (2<em>grad within 5 yrs + 1</em>grad within 5-10 yrs - 1<em>grad within 10-15 yrs -2</em>grad more than 20yrs ago)/(class-size).</p>
<p>It should be no surprise to anyone that Michigan is on a tear. MTdog had a great reply on my original thread about how the rise of Baldwin Wallace and Elon might be attributed to key faculty additions. So others could be changing as we speak due to faculty changes (among other things). Of course the data is also getting stale as we speak, but it should provide a meaningful representation of trend for at least a year or two. Finally, I would still put more emphasis on the total (normalized per class size) alumni numbers than the change (derivative) - e.g. CCM and CMU would still be more attractive on a purely statistical basis than Elon and BW. Plus the standard caveat that how much meaning this, or any data/input has is highly dependent on the individual (and at most put a small to modest weight on any statistics or outside opinions).</p>
<p>1.73 UM
0.89 Elon
0.88 BW
0.50 PSU
0.45 Steinhardt
0.37 Ailey/Ford
0.30 MMC
0.29 Syracuse
0.25 UArts
0.25 OU
0.21 Wesleyan
0.20 Pace
0.20 WrightSt
0.17 CCM
0.15 Tisch
0.15 NColorado
0.15 BYU
0.15 Florida
0.15 UCF
0.14 Indiana
0.14 StevensPt
0.13 Emerson
0.10 Catholic
0.07 FSU
0.07 Wagner
0.06 CMU
0.06 Purchase
0.05 BostonU
0.05 OCU
0.03 Irvine
0.02 BoCo
0.00 Miami
0.00 JMU
0.00 Arizona
0.00 Roosevelt
-0.04 AMDA
-0.08 Webster
-0.08 USC
-0.10 Millikin
-0.13 Juilliard
-0.13 UNCSA
-0.15 Hartt
-0.15 Morehouse
-0.17 PointPark
-0.19 Fullerton
-0.20 Temple
-0.20 Oberlin
-0.25 Shenandoah
-0.25 Belmont
-0.35 Nwestern
-0.63 UCLA
-0.69 Ithaca</p>