Cosmos Chances

I am a freshman in Highschool
I am taking 3 AP’S, AP Physic, AP World, and AP Human Geo. I also take precalculus, and MYP Bio.
EC’S.
Im in my schools science olympiad team, physics olympiad club, bio olympiad club, academic games, quiz bowl team, Asian Society, Mu Alpha theta, and Math Olympiad
I am on my schools HMMT team, and PUMAC team.

I self study astrophysics, astronomy, physics, and math, and I am really passionte about astrophysics/astronomy. I think I can probably make astrophysics semis this year, and AIME, but the results will come in too late for the application.

Can anyone tell me if I have a shot at the UC Irvine subatomic particles/ Big Bang, or UC Davis/ Santa Cruz astrophysics cluster.

I also placed in the top ten overall for middle school at the academic games national tournament last year.