Data comparing liberal arts colleges in the sciences

This table shows the number of Rhodes, Marshall, Churchill, Truman, and Goldwater Scholars per school. Only the Goldwater and Churchill Scholarships are specific to the sciences, but I show the others for interest’s sake.

Rhodes = Rhodes Scholars since 1980. Before 1976, the Rhodes was only open to men. For study at Oxford.
Marshall = Marshall Scholars since 1980. For study in Ireland.
Churchill = Churchill Scholars for study of the sciences at Cambridge.
Goldw = Goldwater Scholar for study of the hard sciences
Truman = for leadership, includes leadership in science but not at all specific to science.
Total = sum of all
per.cap = 1000 x Total/Size

The Truman and Churchill awards are oddly distributed. Some schools have many and other similar schools have none. I suspect that there is a sponsor effect, so some of these small schools have a faculty or two who were scholars and who sponsor/promote it.


SizeRhodesMarshallChurchillTrumanGoldwFulbrightTotalper.capSchool
25262651423358534Pomona CA
1542
78525
9237750Swarthmore PA
2045
101131717167436Williams MA
1792
6791410247039Amherst MA
2563
100811456525Smith MA
__2961
3551817136121Oberlin OH
2323
48020
9185925Wellesley MA
2040
3801411185426Occidental CA
1770
4201114134425Davidson NC
2526
540115184317Middlebury VT
1805
25018
6114223Bowdoin ME
2057
626410134120Carleton MN
__2928
240158124114Wesleyan CT
1301
220191164031Clar McKenna CA
3034
410110233913St Olaf MN
804
211601713746Harvey Mudd CA
__2189
161116123717Mt Holyoke MA
1734
230121093621Grinnell IA
__2179
200111763617Lewis and Clark OR
__2073
51014583316Macalester MN
__1076
10022273230Pitzer CA
1194
2437863025Haverford PA
__1387
20033223022Centre KY
2418
11074152812Vassar NY
2810
20020602810Furman Univ SC
__2503
00001892711Lafayette PA
__1587
3509372717Wheaton-MA MA
__1890
30067112714Wash and Lee VA
1308
2519262519Bryn Mawr PA
__2937
2106412259Coll of the Holy Cross MA
__2375
01017432511Willamette OR
__3894
0000185236Calvin MI
__1662
03021532314Kenyon OH
__3432
1300142206Hope MI
__2100
213265199Reed OR
__2050
510661199Colorado College CO
__1348
11031311914Hendrix AR
972
0003971920Scripps CA
__1498
10012
231812Whitman WA
__2573
0000711187Barnard NY
__2216
100376178Depauw IN
__2497
000970166Augustana SD
__2135
050803167Spelman GA
__2255
000664167Trinity College NY
__2031
1005100168Rhodes TN
__2553
200472156U of Puget Sound WA
__1773
000528158Bates ME
__1900
0101121158Hamilton NY
834
1101481518New College of FL FL
__1631
70031415
9Sewanee: U of the South TN
__2875
121136145Colgate Univ NY
__2066
0003110147Coll of Wooster OH
__2456
110642146Gustavus Adolphus MN
__2364
000067135Dickinson PA
__3565
020523123Bucknell U PA
__1893
020154126Connecticutt College CT
__1847
100631116Colby ME
__2297
100442115Trinity Univ TX
__2451
100154114Gettysburg PA
__2242
100271115Union NY
__2109
340310115Morehouse GA
__1932
100433116Rollins FL
873
1204311113Agnes Scott GA
__1461
10052210
7Kalamazoo MI
__1681
100072106Ursinus PA
__1815
000163106Eckerd FL
__1417
110431107Drew Univ NJ
926
2107001011Wabash IN
993
01060299Earlham IN
917
000405910Mills CA
2385
30102283Luther IA
__2059
00010784Bard NY
__1519
10030375Lawrence Univ WI
__1734
01013274Ohio Wesleyan OH
__2632
00012473Skidmore NY
__2280
00023273Denison OH
__1396
01050175Alma MI
2209_0001236
3Franklin & Marshall PA

Fulbright is the Research Fulbrights for all areas (not just sciences) from 2011-2015. Fulbrights for teaching English are excluded.

Rest of the table.

SizeRhodesMarshallChurchillTrumanGoldwFulbrightTotalper.capSchool
126810041065Albion MI
__1303
02030165Beloit WI
__1789
01031163St John’s U MN
__2020
20040063C St Bene. MN
__1932
00011353Clark Univ MA
__3264
00031152Sea. Pac. U WA
__1394
10021043Ran.-Macon VA
__1437
00040043Sarah Lawr. NY
__2406
00020131St Lawr/ U NY
__1435
00012032Coe IA
__1840
00010232Pacific Univ OR
__1665
20000132Whittier CA
__1622
00030032Simmons MA
__1621
00020021Berea KY
__1399
00000111Knox IL
__1607
00000000Lake Forest IL
4575_0000000
0Lee Univ TN

The following are national liberal arts colleges that have produced at least one Apker Award recipient (for undergraduate research in physics):

Amherst
Bucknell
Colgate
Franklin & Marshall
Hamilton
Haverford
Harvey Mudd
Macalester
Middlebury
Mt. Holyoke
Oberlin
Reed
Swarthmore
Wesleyan
Williams

Augustana College (SD), though technically not an NLAC, should also be mentioned.

Of these schools, the following have graduated at least one Nobel Prize winner in a science field (check for possible omissions):

Amherst
Hamilton
Haverford
Oberlin
Swarthmore

(Source for AA information: the American Physical Society.)

@merc81 Thanks for posting that. Williams stands out for sure with 6 awards.

Since 1994. One Ackerd given to non-PhD granting institution and one to PhD granting. Here’s the list for the former.


Hamilton 1994
Williams 1995
Haverford 1996
Swarthmore 1997
Harvey Mudd 1998
Williams 1999
Swarthmore 2000
IL State 2001
Williams 2002
Harvey Mudd 2003
Williams 2004
Bucknell 2005
Harvey Mudd 2006
Oberlin 2006
Colgate 2007
Haverford 2008
Mt Holyoke 2009
Wellesley 2009
Williams 2010
Wesleyan 2010
Augustana 2011
Franklin & Marshall 2012
Wesleyan 2013
Loyola Univ MD 2014
Williams 2015

Re the Apker, note that the separate categories were first used for the 1995 award. This would appear to make Hamilton (1995), Reed (1992), Macalester (1980) and Amherst (1979) the only LACs to have produced recipients in entirely open fields. Wesleyan, it should be noted, has produced its recipients in the PhD-granting institution category.

Pomona definitely does not have 2526 students. The largest total enrollment has been ~1650 students.

https://www.pomona.edu/sites/default/files/cds-2013-2014.pdf

So, to be clear, since 1995, Wesleyan is the only LAC currently eligible to compete for the Apker in what could conceivably be called, an “open” field (open to research universties) and have won twice?

Thanks, this is very interesting. Any chance of getting your SS, or a link to a G. sheet if that’s where you did the crunching?

Useful info thanks @liska21

@nostalgicwisdom Thanks, that was a typo. Hit 2 instead of 1. I’ll fix and re-post Pomona’s #s. However I sorted by total so Pomona’s place on the tables won’t change, but per capita #s will be more like Swarthmore.

@nostalgicwisdom @otisp Here are the corrected Pomona numbers. Just the ‘per capita’ entry changes

Table of the PhD production in hard sciences
per.cap = 1000*PhD.Prod/Size
Adm.Rate__SizePhD.Prodper.cap%Need% MeritAve.MeritSchool
21.0
2057449218100
42000Carleton
18.2__804309384100188300Harvey Mudd
30.4_2961300101100
3714900Oberlin
14.3154228818710000Swarthmore
17.0
204528313810000Williams
48.5
210026112410000Reed
59.2
303424982992013300St Olaf
20.92928237
81100147200Wesleyan
13.91650230139100
0____0Pomona

Table of Goldwater Scholars, NSF Graduate Student fellowships and Fulbrights. Hard Sci only.
per.cap = 1000Total/Size (Total = Goldwater+NSF)
SizeGoldwaterNSFTotalper.capFulbrightSchool
__804
175067831Harvey Mudd CA
1542
_9
5564426Swarthmore PA
2057
__105363_31
7Carleton MN
1650
__2338613716Pomona CA
2961
__17385519__2Oberlin OH
2045
_173653264Williams MA

Table of major awards
per.cap = 1000
Total/Size (Total = sum columns 2 to 7)
SizeRhodesMarshallChurch.TrumanGoldwFulbrightTotalper.capSchool
1650
2651423358552Pomona CA
1542
78525
9237750Swarthmore PA
2045
101131717167436Williams MA
1792
6791410247039Amherst MA
2563
100811456525Smith MA
__2961
35518171361
21Oberlin OH

I don’t see any leg lamps listed.

@Cazwax I crunched in R. However these tables didn’t require much crunching. The work was getting the data. In any case, you can download my raw data and R code here

The data
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/31164092/College_Data/Table%20of%20Oberlin50%20Awards/Oberlin_Group_STEM_Scholars.csv

The R code
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/31164092/College_Data/Table%20of%20Oberlin50%20Awards/make_oberlin_scholars_tables.R

More crunching of the Baccalaureate origins of PhD 2004-2014 data. See previous posts on where this comes from. This time I downloaded the detail on the PhD field of study so I could break out CS vs Math. The numbers are a little different than before because I aggregated the subfields a little differently than NSF did in their aggregation. I added a bunch more small liberal arts colleges. In particular, Allegheny College was not in the ‘Oberlin Group’ and many of their alums go on to get PhDs in the hard sciences.

total = total of columns 1 to 6
size is enrollment 2015-2016 from USNews

First half of table

GeoSciLifeSciChemPhysics_CSMathtotalSTsizename
8818155312130406MN2057Carleton
125733685466290CA804Harvey Mudd
301602014829261OH2961Oberlin
3111426311536253MA2045Williams
__9144
17332225250PA1542Swarthmore
51253338725233OR2100Reed
81263712336222MN3034St. Olaf
2312423
9328210CA1650Pomona
71313017913207IA1734Grinnell
221281614711198CT2928Wesleyan Univ
2312122
71112196MA2563Smith
__7123
45746192PA2023Allegheny
29103151489178NY2875Colgate Univ
__8103
24171015177PA1194Haverford
21
949201516175MA1792Amherst
1310020181013174PA3565Bucknell Univ
1311917869172MA2189Mount Holyoke
_71091910811164MA2323Wellesley
23
742691311156MN2073Macalester
159626755154ME1847Colby
1793167810151ME1805Bowdoin
27
88141236150CO2050Colorado
2469229421149WA1498Whitman
21
85121286144VT2526Middlebury
1170361645142OH2066Coll of Wooster
__8762120
77139NY2418Vassar
1078241097138TX2297Trinity Univ
13652517313136WA2553U of Puget Sound
965311011
8134MI3432Hope
965348611133SC2810Furman Univ
16
5741_7110132PA2209Franklin & Marshall
19
7817719131ME1773Bates
__9642123
28127MN2456Gustavus Adolphus
__9681714215125PA1308Bryn Mawr
26832
858123MI1461Kalamazoo
__363238812117PA2503Lafayette
37020967115MI3894Calvin
_177194212115NC1770Davidson
10
53182149115WI1519Lawrence Univ
__286
8653110OH1734Ohio Wesleyan Univ
116220817109CA2040Occidental
__18218241108PA1681Ursinus
__57419314106NY2573Barnard
135926404106PA1615Juniata
__248339210104MA2937Coll of the Holy Cross
46111
814
4102IN2216DePauw Univ
0641412_111102OH1662Kenyon
10
6412_41798IL2497Augustana
24
57554196FL1815Eckerd
3612136296PA2451Gettysburg
74018
811892MA1587Wheaton
_
8_60982289PA2364Dickinson
15
471562489NY1900Hamilton
868703389NY2632Skidmore
16810
35188MA1932Clark Univ
15418113087NJ1417Drew Univ
147151031086FL834New College of FL
__
8432064586NY2242Union
361782485OH2280Denison Univ
0586161182GA2135Spelman
_
359945080IN993Earlham
14622
14579OR2375Willamette Univ
14118102678PA2509Grove City
24218421078IL1399Knox
__
5
3427_53377MI1268Albion
12
44836477WI1303Beloit
3431574577AR1348Hendrix
93915
06776VA1890WA & Lee Univ
6461613375CT1893Conneticutt
148876474OR2179Lewis & Clark
25015
41274PA2440Muhlenberg
1421460972MN2381Concordia-Moorhead
04017
121070NY2868Canisius
_
0371683569KY1387Centre
831947766TN1631Sewanee: U of the South
1381415766CT2255Trinity
236767765NY2059Bard
23414
81665MN1789St. John’s Univ,ville
11
38145564MA1410Hampshire
0401154363MI1396Alma
23212104363GA2109Morehouse
03017101462PA1683Lebanon Valley
73012
34662NY2406St. Lawrence Univ
4371611362WI2112St. Norbert
13116
30758KY1621Berea
141813458PA2789Messiah
4221491656OR1683Linfield
235634555TN2031Rhodes
02419
80253IN926Wabash
730823252IA1077Cornell
039353252OH1235Hiram
5251025552MS771Millsaps
03811
00251MA2401Stonehill
1251531348GA2085Berry
41815
81248CO3751Fort Lewis
0251164248NY3139Siena
22511
51347IA1435Coe
335530147IN1145Hanover
0211834147IL1607Lake Forest
12215
42246PA1138Westminster-New Wilm
1241421345TX1278Austin
228920445CA1301Claremont McKenna
02512
404_45MI1472Hillsdale

Second half of table

GeoSciLifeSciChemPhysics_CSMathtotalSTsizename
1331000044PA1342Cedar Crest
032810344PA1788Elizabethtown
225822342MN2020Coll of St. Benedict
1261121142MD1471Goucher
32312
21142NY2421Hobart & William Smiths
0251201442PA2002King’s-Wilkes Barre
026920542MD1706McDaniel
02613
10242MS1984Mississippi
223751341SC1608Wofford
1191152240SD1671Augustana-Sioux Falls
328601240NY1540Hartwick
028533140IA1661Wartburg
12312
31040PA1362WA & Jefferson
026522439AL1185Birmingham Southern
021823337NY2849Le Moyne
1161361037PA1612Moravian
030500237IN1519St. Mary’s-Notre Dame
026500435GA873Agnes Scott
122162335IN774Goshen
126700135NY2057Nazareth
21614
10235VA1394Randolph-Macon
0251000035NH1968St. Anselm
119730535CA1313Westmont
21411
02534WI2873Carthage
227400033PA2360Albright
1171021132VA1105Hampden-Sydney
125401132MD1359Hood
115821532NY1048Houghton
027410032CA972Scripps
119602331MT1430Carroll
024430031LA553Centenary of Louisiana
117731231VT2123St. Michael’s
01710
11130PA1357Lycoming
0161040030PA1626St. Vincent
122402130CA1665Whittier
117920130MO1043William Jewell
120320329ID1120Coll of Idaho
316351129NC2137Guilford
120420229NYNAManhattan
016801429IA1215NW-Or. City
021231229WA3264Seattle Pacific Univ
022501028MN2859Coll of St. Scholastica
018411327PA1417Geneva
413900127WI584Northland
017900127WI840Ripon
018603027MS900Tougaloo
01212
11026MA2008Assumption-Worcester
014710426IA1490Loras
017800126NY2857St. John Fisher
016720025SC591Erskine
214422125VA2054Roanoke
123000125MA2171Springfield
116510225MD1467WA
010812324IA1411Central
112141423MA1736Gordon
019112023MA1622Simmons
016111322SC1146Presbyterian
016110321CA1076Pitzer
011511220FL1932Rollins
_
1
9611119FL2172FL Southern
114120018NY1437Sarah Lawrence
010400115CA917Mills
2__9100214IA1399Dordt

To put these numbers in perspective, you should look at the same tables for all schools, including large research universities. Posted here:
http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/discussion/comment/19567189/#Comment_19567189

Some background on the role of small LACs in STEM. These publications analyze similar data but different years and a smaller set of LACs.

Strengthening the STEM Pipeline: The Contributions of Small and Mid-Sized Independent Colleges
http://www.cic.edu/research-and-data/research-studies/documents/stem-report.pdf

Science at liberal arts colleges. A better education? by TR Cech
https://www.hhmi.org/sites/default/files/Programs/cech_article.pdf

Here is an article analyzing the same data but focused on PhDs in Computer Science
http://cra.org/crn/2013/01/exploring_the_baccalaureate_origin_of_domestic_ph-d-_students_in_compu/

Last table for tonight. This one shows the total number of alums who got a PhD in the hard sciences 2004-2014, but now I’ve sorted by the # of PhDs per 100 enrolled. This is how the # was normalized in Science at liberal arts colleges. A better education? by TR Cech
https://www.hhmi.org/sites/default/files/Programs/cech_article.pdf
but I’m showing many more schools. Cech just looked at the top-ranked 20 or so LACs.

total is sum of columns 1 to 6 (GeoSci+LifeSci+Physics+CS+Math)
size is size of school 2015-2016 per USNews
per.100 is 100*total/size

totalper.100sizename
290
36.1804_Harvey Mudd
406
19.72057Carleton
250
16.21542Swarthmore
177
14.81194Haverford
210
12.71650Pomona
253
12.42045Williams
207
11.91734Grinnell
233
11.12100Reed
86
10.3834New College of FL
149
9.91498Whitman
175_9.81792Amherst
125
9.61308Bryn Mawr
192
9.52023Allegheny
261
8.82961Oberlin
151
8.41805Bowdoin
123
8.41461Kalamazoo
154
8.31847Colby
80
8.1993Earlham
172
7.92189Mount Holyoke
196_7.62563Smith
115
7.61519Lawrence Univ
156
7.52073Macalester
131
7.41773Bates
222
7.33034St. Olaf
150
7.32050Colorado
164
7.12323Wellesley
142
6.92066Coll of Wooster
198
6.82928Wesleyan Univ
52
6.7771Millsaps
106
6.61615Juniata
115_6.51770Davidson
108
6.41681Ursinus
110
6.31734Ohio Wesleyan Univ
178
6.22875Colgate Univ
102
6.11662Kenyon
87
6.11417Drew Univ
77
6.11268Albion
138
62297Trinity Univ
132
62209Franklin & Marshall
77__5.91303Beloit
92
5.81587Wheaton
144
5.72526Middlebury
139
5.72418Vassar
77
5.71348Hendrix
53
5.7926Wabash
78
5.61399Knox
31
5.6553Centenary of Louisiana
136
5.32553U of Puget Sound
109
5.32040Occidental
96
5.31815Eckerd
127
5.22456Gustavus Adolphus
69
51387Centre
174
4.93565Bucknell Univ
52
4.81077Cornell
133
4.72810Furman Univ
117
4.72503Lafayette
89
4.71900Hamilton
102
4.62216DePauw Univ
88
4.61932Clark Univ
27
4.6584Northland
64
4.51410Hampshire
63
4.51396Alma
35
4.5774Goshen
52
4.21235Hiram
25
4.2591Erskine
106
4.12573Barnard
54__4.11327U of Dallas
47
4.11145Hanover
76
41890WA & Lee Univ
75__41893Conneticutt
66__41631Sewanee: U of the South
46__41138Westminster-New Wilm
35__4873Agnes Scott
134
3.93432Hope
98
3.92497Augustana
96
3.92451Gettysburg
89
3.82364Dickinson
86
3.82242Union
82
3.82135Spelman
85
3.72280Denison Univ
62
3.71683Lebanon Valley
65
3.61789St. John’s Univ,ville
58
3.61621Berea
104
3.52937Coll of the Holy Cross
45
3.51278Austin
45
3.51301Claremont McKenna
89
3.42632Skidmore
74
3.42179Lewis & Clark
79
3.32375Willamette Univ
56
3.31683Linfield
47
3.31435Coe
44
3.31342Cedar Crest
39
3.31185Birmingham Southern
32
3.3972Scripps
65
3.22059Bard
27
3.2840Ripon
78
3.12509Grove City
45
3.11472Hillsdale
32
3.11048Houghton
115
33894Calvin
74__32440Muhlenberg
72__32381Concordia-Moorhead
63__32109Morehouse
27__3900Tougaloo
66
2.92255Trinity
62
2.92112St. Norbert
47
2.91607Lake Forest
42
2.91471Goucher
40
2.91362WA & Jefferson
32
2.91105Hampden-Sydney
30
2.91043William Jewell
55
2.72031Rhodes
35
2.71313Westmont
62
2.62406St. Lawrence Univ
40
2.61540Hartwick
29
2.61120Coll of Idaho
44
2.51788Elizabethtown
42
2.51706McDaniel
41
2.51608Wofford
35
2.51394Randolph-Macon
70
2.42868Canisius
40
2.41671Augustana-Sioux Falls
40
2.41661Wartburg
37
2.41519St. Mary’s-Notre Dame
32
2.41359Hood
29
2.41215NW-Orange City
48
2.32085Berry
37
2.31612Moravian
31
2.21430Carroll
30
2.21357Lycoming
58
2.12789Messiah
51
2.12401Stonehill
42
2.12020Coll of St. Benedict
42
2.12002King’s-Wilkes Barre
42
2.11984Mississippi
21
21076Pitzer
27__1.91417Geneva
22
1.91146Presbyterian
35
1.81968St. Anselm
30
1.81626St. Vincent
30
1.81665Whittier
42
1.72421Hobart & William Smiths
35
1.72057Nazareth
26
1.71490Loras
25
1.71467Washington
24
1.71411Central
15
1.6917Mills
48
1.53139Siena
31
_1.52123St. Michael’s
33
1.42360Albright
29
1.42137Guilford
23
1.41622Simmons
48
1.33751Fort Lewis
37
1.32849Le Moyne
26
1.32008Assumption-Worcester
23
1.31736Gordon
18
1.31437Sarah Lawrence
34
1.22873Carthage
25
1.22054Roanoke
25
1.22171Springfield
28
12859Coll of St. Scholastica
20__11932Rollins
14__11399Dordt
29__0.93264Seattle Pacific Univ
26
0.92857St. John Fisher
19
0.92172__FL Southern

Alice T. Schafer Prize for Excellence in Mathematics by an Undergraduate Woman
https://sites.google.com/site/awmmath/programs/schafer-prize/schafer-prize-awardees

2016-1990
36 awards (winner, runner-up or honorable mention) given to undergraduate women at LACS
5 Harvey Mudd
4 Bryn Mawr
3 Swarthmore
3 Haverford
2 Smith
2 Grinnell
1 Williams
1 Reed
1 Bard
1 Carleton
1 Scripps
1 Mount Holyoke
1 Franklin & Marshall
1 Agnes Scott
1 Wellesley
1 Amherst
1 Bowdoin
1 Colorado College
1 Kalamazoo
1 Spelman
1 Santa Clara
1 Amherst
1 College of the Holy Cross

In comparison…
38 to Elite Universities
10 UC Berkeley
8 Harvard
7 MIT
4 Univ of Chicago
4 Princeton
2 Dartmouth
1 Yale
1 Stanford
1 Cornell

35 to large public research universities
9 Univ of Michigan
6 Univ of Notre Dame
2 Univ of Utah
2 Univ of Georgia
2 Univ of Massachusetts Amherst
2 University of Colorado at Boulder
2 UC Santa Barbara
2 Texas A&M University
2 University of Nebraska
1 University of Alabama
1 UC San Diego
1 University of Texas
1 University of Wisconsin
1 Univ of Washington
1 University of Montana

Full list by year posted separately

The only thing I want to say here is that folks should be careful interpreting this data, as it’s only descriptive (as opposed to inferential). There’s no information on whether these differences are statistically significant, and even if they are what the causes and drivers of them are. I think it’s safe to say that the average Carleton or Swarthmore student has more precipitating factors (initial desire, motivation, knowledge about PhD-level careers) and probably academic achievement/prowess than the average Beloit or Willamette student, but that says nothing about the outliers - for example, whether the same sufficiently motivated, superstar student would have better chances attending Carleton than Beloit.

This becomes important when students are comparing scholarship offers. For example, let’s say you’ve got a superstar student who has already started doing high school research and has a paper published and one in preparation. She’s got a full ride scholarship to Whitman and her family is full pay at Carleton. Would she necessarily have better chances going to get a PhD if she chose Carleton? No, that’s committing the ecological fallacy in statistics. A student who has a publication in high school could probably go practically anywhere and still come out on top.

The other thing these lists don’t do is stratify. Note that Spelman and Morehouse, both historically black colleges, are towards the middle of the list. Also note, though, that in other places analyses show that black science and engineering PhDs disproportionately come from HBCUs, and Spelman and Morehouse rank very highly when you take that into account (and also into account that very large proportions of their student bodies are low-income going by Pell recipients).

Would it be better for an aspiring PhD who is African American to go to Colgate or Morehouse, or Kenyon or Spelman? There’s no answer to that - it’s going to be very individual and depend a lot on the student. The same is likely true of many other minority groups - women, low-income students, Latinos, etc. (I can say that for my part, going to an HBCU - Spelman, in fact - was instrumental in my decision to get a PhD in a STEM, albeit not “hard” science, field. The fact that I had lots of black female professors in front of me in my classrooms, and a black female president and black female deans and black female alumni who were getting PhDs…it left a tremendous impression on me that could not have been replicated at a predominantly white school. I’m not saying I wouldn’t have gotten a PhD if I had gone anywhere else; I’m just saying it made a huge difference.)

Also, some colleges may either simply attract students who are less likely to want PhDs or foster a spirit in kids to go pursue other avenues. Note that Scripps, Claremont McKenna, and Pitzer, all elite LACs, are near the bottom of this list. Is there something about the atmosphere at the Claremont Colleges that encourages entering careers other than science & engineering research? Maybe! Would that mean that an aspiring PhD should attend Seattle Pacific instead of Scripps, Whittier instead of Pitzer, or St. Lawrence instead of Claremont McKenna? Eh, probably not.

The question of where an individual will do better is a very hard question to answer, and perhaps unanswerable. My intent was simply to show the numbers. What if I had asked you which LAC had produced the most alums who went on to get PhDs in mathematics: Bowdoin College (#6 on US News Ranking) or Spelman College (#72 on US New Ranking)? I think all would say Bowdoin, but that is not in fact the case. Bowdoin produced 10 and Spelman 11, though they are not that different in enrollment. 10 vs 11 is not a “significant” difference by any means. But if you were interested in math and weighing those two schools, then that bit of information might be useful.

Or consider the case of a student interested in Spelman and Morehouse. If I am interested in physics, it would appear that Morehouse has a fairly strong physics department. 10 is quite a large number for a school that size. Yes Carleton, Harvey Mudd, Swarthmore and a number of other schools are higher. But perhaps the student has no interest in those schools. It might be relevant to that student to know that Morehouse produced a similar number of alums who went on to get PhDs in physics as Wesleyan, Middlebury, Oberlin, Occidental.

GeoSciLifeSciChemPhysics_CSMathtotalSTsizename
__
0586161182GA2135Spelman
__
2
32121043_63GA2109Morehouse