<p>About all the statistics Ive seen about deferred ED students say that their chances of being admitted after deferral are about the same to the general acceptance rate. My last years deferral decision from Columbia also states the same thing.
Now, they say that they only defer those who still might have a chance. This implies they were pretty close. A lot closer than I dunno, maybe..lets say 30% of total applicants from the RD round who really dont stand a chance. (I guess 30% - screw ups or weak applications is a fair estimate).</p>
<p>So, my question is, since those deferred are better qualified than those 30%, why are their chances the same? Similar percentages imply that either:
1. they lie about statistics
2. they also defer less qualified students
3. they screw over deferred students in the RD round</p>
<p>Or maybe Im missing something?</p>