What is your unweighted GPA? It would be beneficial to see your GPA without any artificial manipulations that your school might apply. Also, specifically how rigorous has your curriculum been? Taking lots of difficult classes looks very different from taking a few. Do you have any leadership in your ECs, or perhaps any other hooks? Being in state will help, but your ethnicity and what seem like rather mediocre ECs might harm you. I would put UVA at a high match. Try to do something interesting this summer and write about it in your essays. Also it might not hurt to take the SAT again if you feel you can improve, even just 50 points.
Chance me back please! 
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