Duke ED chances?

Colleges and Universities A-Z Duke University
1

My scores are

SAT:1510
AP scores:
APUSH 5
Psych 5

GPA 4.06 weighted 3.8 unweighted, adjusted with quarter transcripts 4.1 weighted 3.81 unweighted

EC:
Eagle Scout
Interned for my Senator (rec letter as well) and wrote a formal policy proposal
Worked for a nonprofit and president of organization wrote rec letter
rose 250k for local religious organization as a leader on its committee
School badminton team
Duke TIP summer program for 2 years
Stanford summer program for 2 years
worked a job at a company where I was tech support
performed research at a university about mangroves and environmental policy with local organizations and researchers
California Scholarship federation member throughout high school

Other stuff:
tutoring, normal community service,

I got a letter of rec from my APUSH teacher and honors anatomy teacher and they seemed to be very excited to write one for me though I don’t know how big a deal that is

I think my essays were pretty good, I am applying for public policy

I am going to do an interview, hasn’t happened yet

I am an Indian Male in a well off family

I recognize my stats may not be great but I don’t know if my extracurriculars are good enough. Thank you for any input!

2

You got a pretty good shot. SAT is a bit low for an Asian candidate and ecs are good enough. ED might boost your chance, so i would say 25%

3

Eagle Scout looks good to me. I’m not sure about the rec letter from a Senator, as I’ve heard political recs (even if from the left) don’t always impress. I may be wrong on that though.