EA Admit Stats

<p>As promised. </p>

<p>MIT</a> Admissions | Blog Entry: "Admissions Bulletin - RA News, EA Results"</p>

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<p>EARLY ACTION STATISTICS</p>

<p>Now that the dust has finally settled on the Early Action period, we can release some statistics - and, even more importantly, some context in which to understand them.</p>

<p>This year was our biggest Early Action cycle ever. We received just over 6400 applications during Early Action, and we admitted 772 students - both record highs. And while it is impossible to know at this time exactly how many complete applications we will receive during Regular Action, we expect the final total (Early + Regular) to exceed 17,800!</p>

<p>Let's put these numbers in some historical context.</p>

<p>Just a few cycles ago, in 2007, around 3300 students applied during Early Action, and we admitted 390. About 12,400 students combined between Early and Regular Action applied that year - far less than the 17,000+ we expect for this year.</p>

<p>So what changed?</p>

<p>Well, for one, more students are applying to MIT every year - which makes me extra happy that we're expanding undergraduate enrollment with the opening of Maseeh Hall.</p>

<p>But the most striking shift, in terms of our process, has been in the proportion of students who apply Early Action vs Regular Action.</p>

<p>For a very long time, the application proportion was stable: about 1/3rd of domestic students applied Early Action, and about 2/3rds applied Regular Action. And, because we don't have any preference for students applying Early, our admit rate followed our applicant rate: we accepted about 1/3rd of our students Early and about 2/3rds of them Regular.</p>

<p>Today, however, almost half of our domestic applicants chose to apply during Early Action! So the number of students whom we accepted in Early rose accordingly. To do anything else would be unfair to those students who merited acceptance during Early Action.</p>

<p>One byproduct of this is that we were able to offer a final decision (admitted or not admitted) to many more students than last year. For those of you who were deferred: nothing has changed in our policy or practice from last year. Your application will be reconsidered without prejudice during Regular Action. We take many deferred students every year during Regular: our deferral constitutes neither a 'delayed acceptance' or a 'polite rejection', just an opportunity for reconsideration.</p>

<p>Another byproduct is that the number of students we accepted in Early Action rose quite a bit. However, it’s important to remember that we don't have any sort of preference for applying Early, nor do we give any 'bump', of any kind, for applying during either cycle. If you are a student that we want to bring to MIT, we will admit you. It does not matter when you apply.</p>

<p>I'm hammering this point home because, as with everything else in the college admissions process (SAT scores, GPAs, etc), raw numbers can be deceptive without the context in which to understand them. And what we don't want people to think is that they get any sort of edge by applying to MIT Early. If you want to apply to us Early, then great! But if you would rather apply Regular, you're all set. You're going to receive the same, fair, unprejudiced evaluation either way.</p>

<p>So here's the bullet points version of everything I've written above:</p>

<ul>
<li>More students now apply during Early Action, so we now admit more students during Early Action</li>
<li>We still have no preference between Early Action and Regular Action applicants, so we will evaluate your application fairly no matter the cycle during which you apply.</li>
</ul>

<p>Finally, I can tell you that the only thing that excites me more than the 772 students we accepted during Early Action are the remaining students we will accept during Regular Action. That means I've got mail to open and applications to read! TTFN!

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<p>I'm going to FIRST kickoff so I might not be able to get to your comments/questions until later tonight, just a heads up.</p>

<p>This means that there are only around 900 spots available for regular decision (assuming around 1670 total acceptances). Since MIT is expected to receive more than 11400 RD applications. Assuming we still have around 5000 or so deferred applicants, that brings up the total number of applicants to be considered during regular decision to 16400, which corresponds to a 5.5% admit rate.</p>

<p>The admit rate for Early applicants is 12.1%. So statistically-speaking, there IS an advantage to applying early. Of course, there are many lurking variables present that can offset the difference (e.g. stronger applicant pool).</p>

<p>But regardless, I’m looking forward to hearing the decision results come March 14.</p>

<p>iceui2 - </p>

<p>One lurking variable you may have overlooked is the fact that all of our international applicants apply only during Regular Action. Because of our quota for international students, their admit rate is much lower than domestic applicants, which skews down the admit rate of the Regular Action pool more generally. </p>

<p>Your deferred number is also way too high - I actually don’t know what it was, but as I said in the blog post, we offered a final decision (admit / not admit) to many more applicants in Regular Action than we have in the past. </p>

<p>Part of my concern, frankly, with us posting these statistics is that they will be misinterpreted by well-intentioned people on the Internet who nevertheless are still missing out on crucial data. </p>

<p>It is likely that there will be a difference in the raw EA admit rate (# accepted / # applicants) to the RA admit rate (#accepted / #applicants), and that the raw EA admit rate will probably be hire. But I have to stress that just because there appears to be a difference between the two in terms of likelihood of admissions does not mean that there is an actual difference between the two when it comes to how decisions are made. </p>

<p>What I manifestly don’t want is for students to think that they get an X% point bump for applying Early Action. It simply isn’t true. There are reasons that some schools give actual bumps for Early Decision, but we don’t have those reasons. </p>

<p>Trust me. It doesn’t matter if you apply Early Action or Regular Action. Your application will be evaluated the same way during either period. This is an example in which the numbers are deceptive because of the incredibly complicated context in which they occur.</p>

<p>iceui2 - </p>

<p>your post was very reasonable, and I hope you didn’t interpret my post as coming down on you or anything. I just really want to make it clear to people that applying to MIT early does not give you any sort of bump relative to regular, even though the raw numbers will probably provide the deceptive appearance of such a bump. Because it’s actually a really unhelpful, pressure-creating, and factually incorrect thing to believe, and I want to nip it in the bud before it becomes a meme.</p>

<p>MITChris</p>

<p>Just curious, as a deferred applicant, what was the percentage of EA applicants who were deferred?</p>

<p>@MITChris</p>

<p>Don’t worry about it - I completely agree with the fact that applying early gives no real advantage. There are way too many lurking variables to make those numbers conclusive. I just wanted to do numerical analysis, being the mathy person I am.</p>

<p>@iceui2 - </p>

<p>i know :slight_smile: </p>

<p>@davidi - </p>

<p>not sure, sorry!</p>

<p>Chris, what could happen if MIT accepts less in EA, say still 400? like what Stanford and Yale did in the past few years – the EA numbers stayed constant. The more MIT accepts in EA, the less percentage of applications it receives for RD. Eventually, MIT’s admission could become all EA.</p>

<p>Also, it might defer too many in EA. That also affects the number of applications for RD.</p>

<p>Any changes for the international pool this year, Chris (any increase/decrease in the number of spots)?</p>

<p>not sure sandro</p>

<p>Lot of words MITChris but I’m going to have to call BS on the attempts to insinuate that early action is not handled differently.</p>

<p>EA applicants are indicating they are more likely to chose MIT if accepted. The trend will increasingly become that most if not all admits will come from EA pool (like other have pointed out)</p>

<p>Chris -
I am wondering why MIT has not released the number of EA applications that were not admitted? Or, the number that were deferred. </p>

<p>What is the thought behind not releasing this number?</p>

<p>MIT, like Chicago and Yale, probably deferred most of the EA applicants, where Stanford kept only 500. Chicago is even worse: not releasing any info at all, where Yale deferred about 3000.</p>

<p>HYPSM should not be afraid of other schools, as Stanford’s released cross-admit data indicated that HYPSM only lost admits within HYPSM. The better way to do is to talk other HYPSM before making any decisions, or find out info about other HYPSM admits. I can see info of most of Yale’s EA admits for this year. I am sure that MIT could find out too. It is perfectly fine to avoid cross-admits.</p>

<p>SunDiego - </p>

<p>You can call it BS, but it isn’t. And our EA applicants almost always apply to other schools as well, so I don’t think your latter point follows. </p>

<p>@goosel - </p>

<p>The numbers I posted are the numbers I got from our stats people. Let me ask when I get back to the office and I’ll see what else they give me.</p>

<p>@ewho - </p>

<p>I think it’s fair to say that the plurality of our students were deferred. I’m not sure what your second paragraph is referring to.</p>

<p>

In all the years I’ve been on CC and around the admissions office, I don’t think I’ve ever seen statistics indicating that this is the case. Plenty of people certainly apply to MIT, Caltech, and UChicago EA simultaneously, and Harvard doesn’t have an early program.</p>

<p>@SunDiego:</p>

<p>Yea, I believe the yield rate for MIT is one of the highest in the country, but it’s certainly not because of EA. As mollie and chris said, a lot of people apply EA to multiple places just to get the earlier decision on their app. I’d wager, actually, that the yield rate is lower in the EA round, but that’s just based on anecdotal observations.</p>

<p>Is there ever a fear that more students will decide to attend MIT than MIT has seats?</p>

<p>So what is the projected %age of RD admission for domestic?</p>

<p>

That has actually happened in the past a few times – the limiting factor is really the number of beds in the dormitories, since all freshmen are required to live on campus and housing is guaranteed for four years. In those years, housing was forced to increase the capacity of many rooms. Doubles became triples, triples became quads, etc. </p>

<p>The admissions office does spend quite a bit of time projecting the yield, partly to avoid this type of scenario.</p>

<p>Hi Chris,</p>

<p>I read in The Tech that…</p>

<p>MIT received a record 6,405 early-action applications this year, up 13 percent from last year. According to Dean of Admissions Stuart Schmill ’86, 772 applicants (12.1 percent) were admitted, 3,887 (60.7 percent) were deferred, and 1746 (27.3 percent) were rejected. Decisions were released on December 15.</p>

<p>While the percent deferred is certainly up from prior years, I am wondering what the general thought is behind deferring so many more students than a school can accept.</p>

<p>One school of thought would be to admit the 700 some and then defer what would amount to the balance of the class (say 1,000 or so). Then these applicants would be considered with the Regular applicants. </p>

<p>I realize that all (if not most) schools defer many many more students than they will eventually take. Why is this?</p>