RE: Lookingforward
Yes. Agree with your point. I think the reason the high school guidance counselor thinks she has a 90% chance of getting in to College A is because she is a match to what they want. The school has a 36% acceptance rate overall, 49% ED…and the reason my daughter would be a particularly good match has much less to do with stats and more to do with her matching the specific qualities this school looks for.
Two students from her school are in the freshman class this year and they have some significant similarities with her in terms of this set of qualities (though they are quite different in other respects).