<p>The OP raises some interesting questions about the value of applying ED II versus ED I, or even the value of applying ED at all.</p>
<p>It has traditionally been assumed that there is some benefit to applying ED to a school. If a student has the proper profile and they are willing to commit to a school by applying ED, then the student has often been rewarded by the school . This has been supported by schools having higher acceptance rates for ED applicants than RD applicants. </p>
<p>However, after examining the trends at Emory over the past 5 years, these traditional assumptions may no longer be valid. With the demographic trend of an ever increasing number of high school graduates applying to a greater number of colleges, the competition for slots is keen. Many try the ED approach to gain an edge. Does it help?</p>
<p>Below are 6 years worth of admissions data for Emory. All but the Class of ’11 data is taken from the Common Data Set. The current class information is taken from the Emory website and the Emory Wheel article from 2/2/07 cited in Post #6 above.</p>
<pre><code> Applicants Accepts Rate Enroll Yield
</code></pre>
<p>Class '06 9,789 4,142 42% 1,337 32%
Class '07 10,372 4,357 42% 1,296 30%
Class '08 11,218 4,330 39% 1,276 29%
Class '09 12,011 4,395 37% 1,259 29%
Class '10 14,222 4,535 32% 1,340 30%
Class '11 15,336 4,176 27% 1,269 30%</p>
<p>5 YR Chng 57% 1% -5% </p>
<p>Over the past 5 years, the number of applications has increased by 57% while the number of students accepted has only risen by 1%. This has caused the overall acceptance rate to drop from 42% to 27%. Actual enrollment has dropped.</p>
<p>Now let’s look at the ED Data:</p>
<pre><code> Early Decision Results
ED Apps ED Accpts ED Rate RD Rate ED % Class
</code></pre>
<p>Class '06 864 530 61% 40% 40%
Class '07 735 452 61% 41% 35%
Class '08 858 514 60% 37% 40%
Class '09 1026 533 52% 35% 42%
Class '10 1434 488 34% 32% 36%
Class '11 1588 432 27% 27% 34%</p>
<p>5 YR Chng 84% -18% </p>
<p>Over the past 5 years the number of ED applicants has increased 84% while the number of ED acceptances has dropped by 18%. The ED acceptance rate has fallen from 61% to 27%. While the Class of ’06 ED applicants were accepted at a 50% higher rate than RD applicants (61% ED v. 40% RD), the Class of ’11 ED applicants fared no better than those applying RD (27% v. 27%). Additionally, the percent of the class filled by ED has dropped from 40% to 34%.</p>
<p>In earlier posts there was some discussion about an ED I acceptance rate of 43% last year, which implies an ED II acceptance rate of only 8%. This suggests that there was a significant difference in the quality of the 2 applicant pools, or perhaps that the admissions committee decided after ED I that they wanted to limit the number of ED acceptances because they wanted to shrink the entire class (Total acceptances fell 359 even though total applications rose by 1,114). </p>
<p>What is clear is that over the past 5 years the value of applying ED to Emory has disappeared.</p>