<p>
</p>
<p>Correct, as I have pointed out in both posts that EDers are “more focused” and “most determined,” so your point is very much appreciated. In fact, as I believe to have made clear that this extra “focussedness” or “determinedness” can result in more impactful essays, thereby increasing EDers’ chances of acceptance.</p>
<p>However, the criteria for acceptance overall, particularly academically, do not vary for EDers and RDers. Therefore, I hold that ED does not (technically) increase your chances. Should one display one’s passion about the school during RD, there are few reasons why one would expect different results between ED and RD.</p>
<p>As to the post you kindly pointed too, again as I said, there are many cases where people “lucked in” during ED, but that does not mean they “lucked in” <em>because</em> of ED. There are plenty who “lucked in” during RD, myself included.</p>
<p>Either way, I would just like to say that ED may not be ideal for many. I am not certain as to how everyone’s school system operates, but for myself, we only had say three tests per subject by the time of ED. A badly done test can totally wrongly reflect one’s competency in a certain subject. One may get new teachers, who do not know the student well and are unable to stress the student’s strength in their recommendations. Even if one gets the same teachers from one’s junior year, it is often advised to give the teachers several months to observe and appreciate the student’s growth over the years. Other factors such as volunteer opportunities and special curricula timeline may also make RD more desirable.</p>
<p>In the end our discussion about ED is ultimately based on personal experience, which is limiting. Before any concrete evidence can be provided, I still hold that applicants have higher chances because of what they <em>bring to the table during ED</em>, not because of the action of making the Early Decision itself. Hence, ED itself does not increase one’s chances – certainly not “substntially.”</p>
<p>A final word to those thinking about ED: Do not jump blindly at the chance to ED because ED <em>supposedly</em> increases one’s chances. Make sure one is ready before making the move.</p>