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<p>Please do not look at admission stats as equating to likelihood of getting accepted. My d. was accepted RD in the most selective (statistically) admissions year in Barnard’s recent history – my d’s test scores put her in the bottom quartile that year, and she had some glaring weaknesses on her academic record, particularly as far as high school math. Obviously she had some strengths as well & we figured that she had about a 50/50 chance of admission, based upon what she was bringing to the table.</p>
<p>The ED pool is different than the RD pool; the admission percentages reflect that – but it doesn’t tell you all that much about “chances” because the pool is different.</p>
<p>You really have to think about why colleges offer ED and how they benefit from it. ED offers colleges a chance to lock in candidates who the college wants – so it benefits the college every time they admit a full pay student or a student they would be sure to admit in any case, and it makes the students who have top stats in the ED pool particularly attractive. It does NOT benefit the college to lock in a marginal candidate who needs financial aid, especially as the college has the option of deferring the student to the RD pool – why tie up a space with a weaker candidate that could later be filled with a stronger candidate. </p>
<p>(Barnard is need-blind, but I don’t think any college is truly need-ignorant in admissions – there are all sorts of factors in the application that telegraph an array of facts about the applicants – so even if the ED process in theory doesn’t consider need, the ad com knows that in practice there are fewer needy students in the ED pool, and that they are not doing themselves any favors by admitting the type of students who might actually turn down the spot based on financial aid considerations.)</p>
<p>In the RD pool the dynamic changes somewhat. For one thing, the college has to be more concerned with yield, so the very highest stat applicants in the RD pool become suspect – the ad com has to determine whether those students are likely to attend Barnard if admitted, or if they see Barnard as a safety – so they probably waitlist some very high stat RD applicants who would have been admitted ED, if they don’t “feel the love” via other factors in the application. (It’s not that they don’t want those students – its that they are guessing that the students are unlikely to attend even if admitted – I’m sure that by now anyone on the Barnard ad com can easily spot a Columbia wannabe, and they know that 9 times out of 10, their Columbia cross-admits will end up enrolling at the college across the street). </p>
<p>At the same time, a much higher percentage of the RD pool includes students who are poorer fits for Barnard – since Barnard is not their top choice for college – and the ad com probably has a pretty good sense of fit. Plus there are probably more students applying RD who simply are not qualified or likely to get in, because its easy enough to add more common app schools into the RD mix, and the RD pool probably also has many more students who haven’t done all that much research into the school before applying.</p>
<p>So I think it is always a mistake to opt for ED under the idea that it will somehow increase “chances” – especially at a school like Barnard, where RD admission isn’t in that crazy competitive, single digit range in any case. </p>
<p>So, if your kid doesn’t have her heart set on Barnard – ED isn’t appropriate. And even if your kid does have her heart set on Barnard – if YOU as a parent don’t have the attitude that you will do whatever it takes to send her there, even if the financial aid comes up short – then ED isn’t appropriate. Keep in mind that NYC is an expensive place to live, airline fares cross-country seem to be going up, a Californian going east typically has to spend money on winter clothing, and Barnard has various policies (including new ones) that give financial aid recipients less flexibility. For example – Barnard won’t subsidize off campus living, so your d. can’t save money by moving off campus in her sophomore or junior; meal plans of some sort are now mandatory for all 4 years, so you won’t be able to fully drop the meal plan as I did with my d. </p>
<p>Finally, when you are told something along the lines that “only one” student turned down Barnard due to financial aid the previous year-- you really don’t know what happened to other students who may have taken on more financially than they had planned in order to pay for college. Keep in mind that the ED pool consists of families who are highly motivated to attend, with that make-or-break attitude on the part of the parents that I mentioned above. There may be many families who are disappointed but not deterred by weak financial aid offers, who accept those offers and then end up borrowing far more over the years than they had planned, or who face unpleasant financial consequences down the line. </p>
<p>One factor that really isn’t considered by many is the full four-year cost. A family may be able to stretch with borrowing in year #1 – but what happens by year #4? Keep in mind that at any college, even if the EFC is stable over 4 years, there will be slight shifting toward more loans, less grants each year, as well as a somewhat increased expectation as to student earnings. Barnard is good about telling you what that is – you can find the info on their web site – but I’d suggest that the financial-aid seeking family who does opt for ED probably isn’t thinking about that. (I make that suggestion simply because the ED option itself does not really make much sense for the forward-thinking, financially needy family – so I think its safe to assume that the kind of parent who likes to make a spreadsheet projecting costs out over 4 years - like me – probably is not represented in the ED pool).</p>
<p>One more thing: it’s hard to believe, but those 4 years rush by in the blink of an eye, and in the end you are likely to have a kid with a BA in hand who realizes that their career aspirations required some sort of higher degree. My kid is one of those, but she’s out of school and working because I can’t finance grad school and she’s got a lot of debt to pay off. </p>
<p>I don’t regret opting for Barnard at all - in fact, I think that the Barnard choice has opened up all kinds of doors for my d. – but I am glad that it was made eyes open, fully knowing the range of financial options before us.</p>