<p>I've been following this board for the past 2 yrs now, and it's amazing to see how much its traffic has increased. That definitely reflects positively on Fordham. I'm also surprised by some of the early action info coming in on another thread - surprised in the sense that I would have guessed that some who were accepted would have been offered a scholarship, but weren't, and also surprised by who is being deferred instead of accepted. It just goes to show everyone exactly what Peter Farrell said in a recent thread, that the caliber of students applying to Fordham in this year's pool is extremely high.</p>
<p>But, back to the topic of this thread. I was wasting time thinking what the numbers may be looking like for the Regular Decision pool as next March comes around. This is what my estimates are coming to...now don't "scream" at me if my numbers are a bit off. These are just estimates and also by memory.</p>
<p>Last year's yield rate for Fordham (% of students who were offered acceptances who did accept) was about 20%. No one has ever mentioned what the individual early action/regular decision breakdown was, so I can only assume for it to be equal. If you apply this % to this year's early action numbers, you can guess that Fordham can count on filling about 700 of their 1600 undergrad slots (again not taking into account the differences between Lincoln Center and Rose Hill's acceptance rates, nor between dorming/commuter rates). I got this number from taking about 7000 EA applicants and 50% acceptance (rounding Mr. Farrell's numbers).</p>
<p>Let's assume Fordham's application numbers don't increase but stays the same as last year (22,000). Take away 7000 EA applicants which leaves 15,000 applications to go, plus it would be fare to guess that Fordham probably deferred most of the 3500 EA candidates that they didn't accept right now, so let's bring this number up to 18,000 applicants for the remaining 900 slots available.</p>
<p>If Fordham is betting that their yield is remaining the same as last year (20%), they can only offer 4500 acceptances in the regular decision pool (20% of 4500 is 900).</p>
<p>Now, if you look at the Regular Decision potential numbers, I think, conservatively, only about 25% of these kids will be offered an acceptance (25% of 18,000 is 4500). If there's a higher number of applicants or if Fordham is guessing the yield will be higher, then the March Regular Decision acceptance rate can be as low as 20%.</p>
<p>As a very proud alum of Fordham (just read my past threads), I'm amazed with how these numbers look like their going to predict out.</p>
<p>So, why am I wasting anyone's time even typing this? 2 reasons: first, to get it into the minds of some of the kids out there that Fordham is not a "slam dunk" for anyone -- not with these statistics. And, second, for those who were deferred or applying regular decision, you still have time to add to your application if you think it will be beneficial.</p>
<p>Fordham really does want students that truly want to attend the school -- and you need to somehow earnestly convey this if you want to attend. The applicant pool is just too strong to smugly think that Fordham can be used as a "safety". That would be a poor bet to make for anyone.</p>
<p>My son is at Fordham now and loves it, even currently going through his first finals week as a freshman. Fordham seems to be everything he was looking for, both academically and socially, and he has no regrets turning down his other acceptances, including Brown University.</p>
<p>Fordham is very special with what it has to offer. (a cheap plug for those accepted through early action and not sure what to do).</p>
<p>--jack</p>