<p>anyone know if it's fairly common for people to get deferred or is it only in extreme circumstances? duke's website says ''in a number of cases'' and i can't tell what that means. i'm just imagining myself making the click that i've been waiting to make for months, hoping for a ''congratulations'' and dreading a ''we're sorry''.... and just seeing ''ummm we're not sure, can we let you know in like, 3 months?'' haha that would SUCK</p>
<p>from ED to RD that is...</p>
<p>Most people are deferred, and there are much less rejections.</p>
<p>Schools will defer kids whom they beleive are in range but not quite over the top so that they want to offer admissions outright. This gives them the ability to judge the candidate against the rest of the applicant pool. If the RD admissions pool is very strong, then it can push out the deferred applicants. Every year Duke admits some deferrals and last year they actually took a fair number. If you are deferred you shoukld take from that the thought that the admissions staff believe the applicant can compete scholastically, but it could be a fit issue if you are not admitted.</p>
<p>statistically speaking i remember awhile back reasoning it out to this number: </p>
<p>~10 percent straight up denied
~40 percent admitted
~50 percent deferred </p>
<p>this year because of the 25 percent increase in apps, my guess is it will prob look like this: </p>
<p>~10 percent straight up denied
~35 percent admitted
~55 percent deferred </p>
<p>for ED apps that is</p>
<p>wow i didn't realize that. i really, really don't want to get deferred. i mean it's what, less than a 10% chance of getting accepted once you're deferred. plus i can't wait until march, i'll go insane</p>