<p>Here’s the best description that I’ve heard, courtesy of CC poster Jonri. Think of “anything above 2200 on SAT, 700+ on SATs, 3.8+ GPA, focused and pretty much still incredible ECs/recs” as the cutoff to be invited to “audition”:</p>
<p>Selective college admissions has nothing to do with your “worth” as a human being. Top colleges don’t even PURPORT to admit the best qualified or most deserving applicants. It’s all about buidling a class. </p>
<p>What does that mean? Well, think of the high school musical director who is choosing a cast for a show. I like to use “Guys and Dolls” as the example. The director isn’t going to choose the 35 most talented singers, dancers and actors and make them the cast. She needs to cast so many males, so many females, so many sopranos, altos, etc. She needs to cast particular roles. She may take work her prior experience with those auditioning into account. </p>
<p>Unless it’s a rather unusual high school, lots more girls than boys will try out. One part is “Nicely Nicely,” who sings “Sit Down, You’re Rocking the Boat.” It is supposed to be sung in a deep voice. It’s traditionally played by a plump guy. Now, the supply of plump young men with good, deep voices at any high school is usually quite limited, so it would be surprising if there are more than 2 or 3 young men vying for that role. </p>
<p>Meanwhile, there are probably a lot of young girls with good soprano voices trying out for the role of Sarah Brown. In choosing the young girl to play Sarah, the teacher may take into account the fact that one candidate is a full six inches taller than the young man she plans to cast as Sky Masterson (Sarah’s love interest). So, in choosing her Sarah, the casting director may make the decision based solely on the fact that one of the best sopranos is shorter than the boy playing Sky is. </p>
<p>When the cast list comes out, the best soprano in the class may be stunned when she learns that she is not Sarah Brown. Nobody is going to tell her the only reason is that she’s six inches taller than the young man playing Sky. She looks down the list. Adelaide (sp?) is the next best part. She’s stunned. She didn’t get that either. Why? It’s a comic role and this young girl simply isn’t a comedienne. </p>
<p>If our young soprano decides based on this experience that she has no talent, she’s a darn fool. It’s reality that should she try to become a professional, she probably has more of a chance of succeeding than the young man who is going to play Nicely Nicely and probably a better chance than the girl who beat her out for the role of Sarah. (Teen boys grown into taller men.) </p>
<p>Admission to a top college works much the same way. In a very real sense, you aren’t competing against everyone in the applicant pool for admission; you’re competing against those who can play the same “role” or “roles.” So, at most top colleges, about 15% of the places will be reserved for athletes. You’re not an athlete, so those spots are irrelevant to you. About 10% will go to internationals; that’s a tougher pool in most cases, but again it’s irrelevant to you. Some places will go to URMs. Again, you’re not one, so that’s not a role you can play. Keep whittling down the number of places in the class you are competing for. </p>
<p>At this point it is, of course, unknown whether you will be one of the lucky ones. I’m not purporting to estimate your chances of admission. I am only telling you that you are the equivalent of a soprano trying for the high school play. The competition is intense because lots of kids can play the same role you can play in a college class.</p>
<p>If you don’t get in, you’d be as foolish as the soprano in my anecdote if you conclude anything at all about your merit. (And conversely, if you do get in, you’d be foolish to conclude that you are better qualified or more deserving than those who did not.)</p>