Giving in to Myself and Posting my Stats

<p>Ali G,
you look like a great candidate, but your list is a bit top heavy. If you don't think that its possible to be rejected/waitlisted from every school on your list - take a look at the 'Picking up the pieces' thread on the parent's forum. </p>

<p>As a rough approximation of your chance of not being accepted anywhere on your list looks like this (using USNWR's figures from 2003 - these will likely be worse next year!):</p>

<p>.9 x .8 x .89 x .6 x .82 x .79 = .25 ~ 25%</p>

<p>If you are a better than average candidate, maybe your chances for rejection are less. But even at half the risk, I don't like a one-in-eight chance. </p>

<p>Applying to a good, rolling admissions school early next fall means that can be admitted, within weeks of applying. If you are accepted - as likely you will be - then you can apply whereever finances allow - since you will have a good fallback if the dice don't roll your way.</p>