<p>Oh, your stats are fine for just about anywhere - it the number of applicants (with similar stats) and other factors (legacy, recruited althete, etc.) that come into play. That's where the designation of safety, match, reach breaks down - is being a match at a college that only accepts 25% of its applicants <em>really</em> a match (better than 50% of admissions). Well, maybe (if you could look inside the admissions black box) or maybe not. That is why some students - if they find an ultra-select match they really want to attend, and know they could afford, do early decision, which does help.</p>
<p>With Michigan, you apply way early, and get your result back in time to alter your admissions strategy if they lose their minds and don't accept you!</p>