<p>Though it may seem like common sense that loans led to increased tuition, there is some disagreement when you actually look at the relationshipe empirically.</p>
<p>The ‘Bennett hypothesis’ is the idea that student aid is causing increased tuition.</p>
<p>Continuous pressures to examine the Bennett hypothesis have led to nearly 15 years of federal research. Studies conducted during three successive administrations — Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama — have found no link between student aid and tuition increases. The hypothesis is nothing more than an urban legend.</p>
<p>“Regarding the relation between financial aid and tuition, the regression models found no associations between most of the aid packaging variables (federal grants, state grants, and loans) and changes in tuition in either the public or private not-for-profit sectors.” (italics added)</p>
<p>– U.S. Department of Education National Center for Education Statistics, Dec. 2001, Study of College Costs and Prices 1988-89 to 1997-98, Vol. 1</p>
<p>“The Commission finds no evidence to suggest any relationship between the availability of Federal grants and the costs or prices in these institutions,” and “has found no conclusive evidence that loans have contributed to rising costs and prices.”</p>
<p>– National Comission on the Cost of Higher Education, February 1998, Straight Talk about College Costs & Prices</p>
<p>“After the change to the Stafford loan limits beginning in AY 2007-08, the price [of college] … increased at a rate generally consistent with prior years.”</p>
<p>– Government Accountability Office, May 2011, Federal Student Loans: Patterns in Tuition, Enrollment, and Federal Stafford Loan Borrowing Up to the 2007-08 Loan Limit Increase</p>
<p>“Overall, [previously conducted] analyses are descriptive and do not necessarily indicate a linkage between increases in the loan limits and changes in tuition or borrowing.”</p>
<p>– Government Accountability Office, May 2011, Federal Student Loans: Patterns in Tuition, Enrollment, and Federal Stafford Loan Borrowing Up to the 2007-08 Loan Limit Increase</p>
<p>Although Bennett thinks student aid can be a “considerable factor” in tuition increases, even he notes in a March 2012 CNN.com commentary piece that “increased federal aid does not cause college price inflation.” He does not carve out an exception for any segment of nonprofit higher education. </p>