Guaranteed admission for Previously WLed???

<p>Hi everyone, I'm just posting this in case anyone ever thought of this too before.
Last year, I was Waitlisted at Columbia College for RD. Last year's admission to CC especially for RD was very selective (like 9.4% i believe) and I was happy to be waitlisted. But eventually I was 'released' from the WL and came up with this theory...</p>

<p>From my understanding, if 9.4% was admitted, they would not waitlist more students than they accepted, meaning the waitlisted are anywhere between top 9.4% ~ 18% of all applicants (or maybe even less). and I know that for Early Decision, the acceptance rate goes up to like 22%. </p>

<p>So theoretically, if I reapply this upcoming november in the ED round with a even better application than last year's, it seems like I would be in for sure (other things being equal although they never could be) because last year I must have been within the top 18% range, and ED acceptance rate is usually higher than 20%.</p>

<p>Now that's only my theory and I understand there are other factors like different officers viewing the application, possibly more competition than last year.. but doesn't my theory make sense at least mathematically? </p>

<p>I was very curious how some of the more experienced people on this board would view this.</p>

<p>Even if your "theory" were mathematically sound, there's still no guarantee that you'll be in for "sure" (as you say). You're trying to turn a very subjective process into an objective one. Stop.</p>

<p>i agree with ictanti.....also your theory is very unsound mathematically because u are assuming that the range of students that apply for ED are comparable to those that apply RD which is absolutely wrong. If you got waitlisted at columbia then you must've gotten in somewhere else right? why aren't you going there?</p>

<p>well im not really an experienced member, but your reasoning is pretty bad. i too agree with ictanti...you can't turn something subjective into something objective.</p>

<p>
[quote]
if I reapply this upcoming november in the ED round with a even better application than last year's, it seems like I would be in for sure

[/quote]
</p>

<p>Good luck, dude. Check your voicemail. I heard Jessica Maranashinachio (or however you spell her name) already wants to offer you a spot in the class of '11.</p>

<p>er.. if you applied last year.. unless you applied as junior.. wouldnt you be .. graduated by now?! and .. o I don't know.. maybe possibly made up your plans for next year?</p>

<p>there comes a point where you'd just have to let go of your dream school, and that was supposed to be about a month ago.</p>