<p>I’ve said this before, but it comes up every year so here goes:</p>
<p>I very, very rarely respond to chances threads, because at MIT (or for that matter most of the top schools), academic excellence is a necessary but not sufficient criteria for entry. As a result, scores are not a particularly useful indicator, and most chances threads concentrate on scores and other objective accomplishments.</p>
<p>For example, for the MIT class admitted in 2006, 97% of the admitted class had SAT I math scores greater than or equal to 650, yet only 19% of applicants with scores 750-800 were admitted.</p>
<p>Does that tell you anything? It doesn’t tell me much. And if you think that this is useful, then it is published information not helped much by a “chance me” thread.</p>
<p>Also at the competitive schools places are lost as much as they are won. How good are your letters of recommendation going to be? How well did you do at the interview (if there is one)? How articulate are your essays and what do they reveal about you? These are often much more indicative of chances for admission than scores. They are also almost always absent in chances threads.</p>
<p>Another reason that chances threads are not particularly useful, is that I do not know your high school. Chances are that MIT does. A key question is “Did the student take fullest advantage of the academic and other resources available to them?” If your high school offers 27 AP classes, and you took 3 of them, then the answer is probably no. If your high school offers none, and you therefore did not take any, then in most cases that won’t hurt you. If your school does not offer any AP classes, but you chose to take the AP Physics exam anyway after studying on your own and occasionally working after class with your teacher, then that is significantly more impressive. If your chances thread tells me you did well on the 3AP’s exams that you sat, I don’t know whether that is great or awful.</p>
<p>Applications are evaluated in context, and the fact of the matter is that the admissions counselors at the top universities tend to know a great deal more about the high schools and context of the application than the rest of us ever will.</p>
<p>Therefore, if I lack the basic information to make an informed evaluation of the application, why should I possibly reply to chances threads?</p>
<p>I actually find them quite distasteful. On the occasions that I read them, I see lots of really biting, often cruel comments on the posters shortcomings, which cannot be useful in any way. Indeed, it is hard to find the utility in them. For applicants who really do have it all, they are an opportunity to brag a little bit: ("I’ve got 5 patents, and three published academic papers, but I only got a 2390 on my SAT’s. Will that keep me out of MIT?)</p>
<p>For applicants whose applications are, say, more nuanced, they either get ignorant people telling them they are getting in (which could be setting themselves up for a fall), ignorant people telling them that they will be rejected (which just hurts), or more likely, some politely phrased version of “Dunno???”</p>
<p>Now don’t get me wrong, everything that PiperXP said about the match is valid. It is well worth rereading the statements that MIT make about the match ([MIT</a> Admissions: The Match Between You And MIT](<a href=“http://www.mitadmissions.org/topics/pulse/the_match_between_you_and_mit/index.shtml]MIT”>http://www.mitadmissions.org/topics/pulse/the_match_between_you_and_mit/index.shtml)). This really is what gets you in or keeps you out. And if you really do think that you match MIT really well, then what you need to do is ensure that the evidence of that match is in your application.</p>
<p>MIT tries to meet the people behind the application, indeed, that is a specific request of the educational council, to identify who this person is in a way that does not show up elsewhere on the application. However, at the end of the day, MIT does not get to review you as a person. It gets to review your application folder, which is far from the same thing.</p>
<p>I will only close by saying that there is a wide variety of expertise on this board. There are a mixture of current MIT students, distinguished alumni (such as the incomparable molliebatmit), some highly knowledgeable parents, and the odd educational councilor, as well as a wide variety of admissions candidates of varying levels of knowledge. I find it telling that, with a few highly limited exceptions, the most knowledgeable people on this board do not post much in chances threads. For what it is worth, I usually only post to correct a piece of incorrect advice. Instead chances threads are filled with people ■■■■■■■■ for a rise, and the worst elements of hyper-competitive humanity on this board.</p>
<p>A while back there was a discussion of the two minute animation Music and Life ([YouTube</a> - Music and Life - Alan Watts](<a href=“http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ERbvKrH-GC4]YouTube”>http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ERbvKrH-GC4)). The kids that I find that match well are the kids that “played” their high school, using the terminology of the animation. Those who have plotted out their 5 year plan to get into MIT usually miss the point, and usually (though admittedly not always) match badly.</p>
<p>Sorry for the long post, but chances threads do irritate me quite a bit.</p>