<p>Down from 4,200 last year.</p>
<p>Do you see this as a trend for other schools? Other comments?</p>
<p>Should I be happy? Byerly, analyze this. We're stupid.</p>
<p>I don't know what to think. Do you think this will mean they will accept higher percentages than last year? What could be the cause of the decline?</p>
<p>maybe the HFAI backfired? Thats great news for us though! Higher acceptance rate! Yay! lol Go America!</p>
<p>these things are always cyclical. a surge one year dissuades students the next. look at yale last year. Boasting the lowest ever aceeptance rate is a double edged sword. I'm sure Harvard will have no problem filling its class with the most 1600 scorers and so on...</p>
<p>Harvard may choose to take a lower % of the class due to this drop. I believe they usually wish to view the greatest number of applicants......thus I predict a lower % of the class accepted early.</p>
<p>I think it may decrease, but not so much as you think. Maybe it will go down to 800 or maybe 700 acceptances early, however its not going to be that drastic.</p>
<p>Absent any other information or data from other schools, I'd have to say that Bulldog makes a point.</p>
<p>A certain fraction of early applicants are kids who are (quite justifiably) game the system. As a result, (as I have occasionally speculated in years past) app numbers can go up or down in reaction to the previous year's stats.</p>
<p>Two years ago, Princeton's apps plummeted, but then they rebounded last year, due in part, I suspect, to applicants guessing that the percentages now favored a Princeton app.</p>
<p>Two years ago, Yale apps boomed with the switch to the common app etc, and they were crowing about being the "most selective" school, ie, having the lowest admit rate.</p>
<p>What happened? Yale had a slight decline in apps last year, while apps surged at Harvard and Princeton. Suddenly it was Harvard, again, with the lowest "admit rate" - a depressing 9.1%</p>
<p>It is entirely possible that "winning" the selectivity crown one year is, as suggested, a double-edged sword - and that "investors" will look for "bargains" in the form of schools with lower admit rates.</p>
<p>After all, you only have one EA/ED app to gamble with, so you may be well advised to seek the best odds, assuming you'd be willing to live with your choice.</p>
<p>woo! Go harvard 2005 for me! lol "I promsie I will donate and add to the diversity of the school!"</p>
<p>I dont think there will be a better chance for those of you who applied EA.. for anything else your chances just went incredibly down
Less EA applicants = Less % accepted EA .. because Harvard may want to just hold back and see what's coming along Regular Action</p>
<p>Really, its a function of who's in the pool. Last year the SCEA apps jumped several hundred, but the admits fell a bit from 902 to 892.</p>
<p>The year before - for the Class of 2007 - there were an almost unmanageable 7,600 apps in the last year of true open EA, and 1,059 were admitted.</p>
<p>I wouldn't expect the admit number to fall much below last year's fgure. A bit, perhaps, but not much. Chances are - given the cyclical nature of the marginal apps - not many of the strongest apps will have left the pool, but rather those most discouraged by last year's stats.</p>
<p>I'd make a wild guess that the admit rate will be 22-24%.</p>
<p>not so true, as the early pool is the high yield pool. just look at the very real trends revealed by Byerly's statistics in the threads titled "Fraction Class filled by EA at Harvard and Yale"</p>
<p>Any breakdowns by applicant sub-groups -- gender, ethnicity, geographic region, public-private school?</p>
<p>No breakdowns ... and the number may yet change a bit, with late apps, people asking to be switched to RD, etc.</p>
<p>This reminds me of overtime in a sporting event.</p>
<p>byerly, if applying RA to these schools... when should I start sending stuff in? Now?</p>
<p>. . . anytime before the deadline.</p>
<p>Do you think there will be any correlation between this drop and with transfer applications/admissions?</p>
<p>Transfer applications have been static with no regard to freshman applicants.</p>