<p>Just wondering, for those who have been chanced by this forum before (in earlier years), did you find those chances to be largely consistent with the actual outcome of your UCLA admission status?</p>
<p>I'm curious because I heard that CC tends to be overly harsh, which would not be surprising because it definitely does not represent the "average" students.</p>
<p>Or trust people whom are Senior Members. Many of them, IMHO, have taken part in chances for a while, have a general picture of what UCLA student profiles are like, and have observed the "old" members (i.e., UCLAri, flopsy) predicting chances for a long time as well. Therefore, like mariopuzo said, they have experience.</p>
<p>Being ranked "Slight Reach" and getting into UCLA does make me feel accomplished. heh.</p>
<p>my advice would be to just not worry about it until the decisions actually come out.</p>
<p>however you get chanced on here isn't going to change the outcome, and there's no use obsessing over it during what should be the most fun part of your high school career.</p>
<p>try to enjoy yourself a bit....trust me, if you go to UCLA or Cal, it's the last chance youll get for a while.</p>
<p>yeah and after uclari and flopsy chance you, its as good/accurate as itll get unless u wanan fork up 89 bucks and have dave berry give you his opinion.</p>
<p>from a purely numerical ------ yes, it's been accurate</p>
<p>we can cite whatever members' admit status and their stats but that doesn't tell us about the general decisions that are made for someone of their stats whatever...</p>
<p>Generally, chances from the CC forum are quite accurate though a bit on the conservative side. It does depend though who is giving out the advice.</p>
<p>I say so because we don't want to say 'Match', have the poster all hyped up, but end up not being admitted.</p>
<p>Fairly accurate, but perhaps slightly under-chanced as I got Regents' invitations to both UCLA and UC Berkeley, which were in the middle of safeties and matches.</p>
<p>
[quote]
Match means you have around a 50% chance, so it's very possible to be rejected. Match does not mean safety.
[/quote]
</p>
<p>I constantly have to give a disclaimer after my predictions that my notion of match is not a specific percentage, but instead representative of that person being well within one standard deviation of the mean admit to that university.</p>
<p>After all, you can be a match to Stanford (meaning that you're in line with the average admit) and not get in. Same thing goes for UCLA and Cal. I never believe that my opinion is sacrosanct, however. I will argue with the data I have in front of me, but I don't believe that I'm some sort of alpha and omega of college admissions predictions.</p>