Have I made a mistake in choosing the Carlson school of management at Minnesota over the Wisconsin school of business at UW-Madison? (undergraduate finance major)

Congrats! They are both very good. Agree that you need to stop over analyzing small differences. For example, your assessment of future trajectories regarding selectivity haven’t taken into account how the recent Supreme Court reproductive rights ruling may affect relative admissions rates between these universities. Both business schools are well regarded out of state.

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