Honestly and Realistically: What's my chances?

Colleges and Universities A-Z Princeton University
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I know everyone hates chance threads, but I figure the more opinions, the better. I just want to have some realistic expectations when applying to universities, and I would love love love to go to Princeton, but I also know that a miracle is not just going to happen to an unqualified applicant.

So, stats:
I’m currently a junior
School: Pretty top school, lots of APs, very competitive, average class ~700, generally top 20 are qualified to go to Ivy schools
Rank: none
GPA: 3.92 UW, expected 3.95 by end of year, 4.5 weighted, expected 4.6-4.7 by end of year
SAT: 1580, one sitting
SAT Subjects: Chemistry - 750, also intend to take Physics and Math
Junior classes: APUSH, AP Physics C, Spanish V (AP credit), AP Psychology, AP Calc BC, AP Chinese, Band, Honors Am Lit
Senior classes: AP World History, AP Lit, AP Spanish, AP Euro, Multivariable Calc, AP Bio, Band
Awards:
*Expected AP Scholar
*Expect NMF
*MUN conference awards
*2nd place at two different statewide piano competitions (ton of other less major awards from various competitions)
*Solo piano performance at Carnegie Hall as part of winning a piano competition

ECs:
*Model UN (Varsity): expected officer position next year
*Varsity Swim&Dive (2 years)
*Research at NIH SIP - did a research project last summer and plan on attending again this summer
*Volunteering at a local spinal research center - working with patients on physical therapy (on a regular basis during the school year/year-round)
*Volunteering at a local hospital (on a regular basis as well)
*Community Service “club” at my school - volunteering at local elementary school and senior retirement home on a weekly basis
*NHS in Science and SS (officer)
*Piano (11 years), with awards as previously mentioned
*Band - All-State, all that

Recs: I would say probably decent, but there are many students and a limited number of teachers. I also intend to get a supplemental rec from my mentor or PI at NIH

Volunteering: As previously mentioned, volunteering at local medical centers and with school service club ~100 hours, expected 180 at least by end of high school

Work XP: I’ve never worked, but did have the research internship at NIH (unpaid) - probably best summer ever

Misc:
Asian male
Higher income bracket
I’d say I’ve led a pretty sheltered life, but I plan on writing about a really personal matter to me that I don’t want to share on here at this time :confused:

Thanks in advance, guys! Appreciate any feedback you might have!

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@CirqueDuNoWay

Tough demo (Asian male)

Great scores (SAT, NMF, AP scholar), GPA, course rigor, ECs, community service, etc. solid work!

Consider taking a humanities SAT II, your intended SAT II list only shows one side of you.

Research / SIP a decent differentiator. Will you get a good, personalized LoR from researcher/manager?

Your LoRs and essays will be key to push you ahead of the pool of other well-qualified, high-income Asian piano playing, researching applicants. What is your unique narrative that will make the adcoms fight for you? What do you bring to Princeton that your competitors don’t?

As always with HYPSM, have safeties and matches.

Good luck!

-psy

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@psywar Hey thanks for the input! I’ll think about diversifying my Subject Tests for sure! LoR from my PI should be pretty good (hopefully) and personalized after two summers!