<p>I'm gonna use only round #'s here, but follow this:
Last yr., Yale got 4000 EA's, accepted 670 (about 16%) and defrerred about 1600(about 40%).
That left about 1700 deferred to the regular round. Of that, they took 279, also about 16%. Good.
Most interesting, tho, is that the total EApeople accepted (670 + 279) is 949, strikingly similar to Harvard's "about 900" accepted all at once in December...the total percentage of Yale EA folks is not the dismal 16%we think, but rather, 949/4000, or about 23-24%...strikingly similar to he Big H up the road. That's 1 in 4; not bad at all. Some of us just have to sweat longer.
Anyone have any ideas why they do this? So they look more selective with the 16%? So they can fortify their yield numbers in the regular round if they need to? Don't get it...but there it is.</p>
<p>hmmm, very interesting</p>
<p>it's cause yale is evil like that (j/k yale! plz don't reject me for saying this)</p>
<p>Last year they did that because it was their first year with EA so they didn't know what their yield was going to be. They wanted to be cautious because the class of 2007 had overenrolled the year before by about 50-100 students and it was a struggle for Yale to accomodate all of them so they didn't want to do that again. I was a deferred EA kid last year and I know so many of them here at Yale (my suite is half deferred EA kids, for example) so there is definitely hope out there for Yale EA deferrees. Most deferrees still won't get in, but they will have a better shot than those applying RD and those applying to schools that don't really reject many people in the early round like Harvard.</p>
<p>Given that they can accomodate a class of 1300 and shoot to fill 40% of that EA, as they and others openly state, they're looking for about 520 kids. Applying an 80% yield (liberal---it was 88% last year!)--that means they'll take 520/.8 or 650 kids this week...or less, if they apply that 88% actual yield. Harvard can take the whole 900 right away cuz they have a larger class...40% or so of 1700 or so equates to a lot more bodies than 40% of 1300...that explains it. So don't look for any big shift in numbers, but do have hope for the Spring...a quarter of the EA's will be accepted. Bodes even better for the higher-netting CC community, right?! Probably talking better than 1 in 3.</p>
<p>the question is, what does one do after he or she is deferred? Just wait? Or follow up with something?</p>
<p>Because they now how the yield numbers from last year's transition to EA, could they raise the rate for EA applicants early and lower it for regular applicants. Perhaps 16%> 20% and 14 % (regular for EA deferrals) < 10?</p>
<p>Nicklyby--here's the catch, and the reason they won't/can't go much higher than 16% in December: If they took 20% of the 3926 they got this year, 785 kids, and applied the 88% EA yield to it, they'd end up with 691 kids which is a whopping 53% of the class from EA. That's out of line with their effort to keep it to roughly 40%, a goal all share except P-ton who, this year stated they no longer hesitate to go over the dreaded 50% mark. The sad fact seems to be that they are ultimately restrained by the 1300 class size and the seemingly widespread objective to stay under 50% of seats...if the class were bigger, like H's, they could take a generous 23% NOW, without going near 50% of the seats...remember, H does that and can stay in the 40's because of the larger class size.
Lucky for EA'ers that it seems they get around this number constraint by STILL taking an ultimate total of 23% of EA'ers, like H, but not all at once.
Even an 18% rate puts them at 49% of the class.
Y'all just need to remember that a deferral at Yale truly means that you get a full-fledged second shot with the same odds, and twice as good as those who did not apply EA. A YAle deferral is not a "fading dream" the way it is at most of them. A YAle deferral is NOT BAD NEWS--it just means it isn't over.</p>