How Accurate is the NPC?

We toured Rollins on Friday with my DD and she has moved Rollins to the top of her list. She loved the campus and the quaint downtown. She felt that she would “fit in” with the students she observed and really loved the emphasis on collaborative learning. When we ran the NPC, Rollins was within our price parameters. Therefore my question is how accurate is the NPC? My DD will have a 3.8 - 3.9 UW GPA depending on this semester’s grades. This includes 3 AP courses and 4 DC courses. Her senior schedule has 4 AP’s/DC classes. Her grades and rigor are excellent, but her test scores will not put her in the range of the Alfond Scholars. So we will be relying on the other partial merit scholarships to bring Rollins within our price range.