<p>My <em>personal</em> definition of crap shoot territory (i.e., the same odds as rolling a pair of "sixes" in a game of dice, or crap game) is when the odds of admission for someone with a 2150 combined SAT score begins to reach 1 out of 10. Brown at 15% and Columbia at 13% come the closest to fitting that definition. I guess it would be the equivalent of a high reach in CC terminology.</p>