<p>what is the probability?</p>
<p>Well, the deferred pool is the same as the regular pool, so the chance is at around 10%. Maybe slightly higher, as I believe the deferred letter states?</p>
<p>Anyways, colleges aren't (completely) about probability. Stats count as well.</p>
<p>thanks Halcykon. It just that it seems like everyone on cc who got deferred got admitted in RD :-)</p>
<p>if my memory is correct, last year of those who were
defered scea and went into the regular around.......10 %
those who applied only rd .......around 5 %
Scea was around..............20%
overall acceptance rate approximately..........10%</p>
<p>deferred->accept rate will be something in the 5-10% range. someone commented on a yale daily article that they've accepted ~250 deferrees in recent years</p>
<p>Urgh ... Well the '11 stats are such (I'm a '11 Yalie) ...
Overall admit rate was ~9.6% (up from 9.2% in '10).</p>
<p>EA admit ended up being around <~20%
RD admit ended up being around ~6.3% if I can recall correctly.</p>
<p>Deferred applicants get pooled in with the rest of the RD candidates with maybe a SLIGHT advantage.</p>
<p>Since the EA rate was down this year (due to more applicants since Harvard and Princeton got rid of their EA's) to something like 16 - 18%, I expect RD pools to still be around 6% this year and nowhere above 7%</p>