IMHO many people will see high health insurance costs before they qualify for M/C - there are the exceptions people up-thread have mentioned.
We have 3 more years to hang on to our health insurance. By then we will have the house paid off. We have contingency plans if there are changes with H’s company - he may need to work from home or relocate if local plant goes away. But we believe he has solid employment. Most likely he could work from home. H told me company President is on a contract. H is not quite at that level to be privy to many decisions.
Saw our financial planner Friday, and we saw projections based on current investments and SS income in retirement. Our income stream and investments are pretty solid and lots of $$ left over at age 100 if all goes well. An interesting development has been that our Nationwide New Heights annuity flipped with our Allianz annuities - the Allianz is doing really great while the Nationwide is doing OK but not as strong as the Allianz on ROR.
I want to analyze 401k and think about the investment choices there. Roth and 401k are considered to be in ‘bucket 3’. Bucket one is income (our annuities and SS), bucket 2 is for additional expenses beyond income stream.
I mentioned the WSJ spreadsheet and the $4.25 M assuming 20 years in retirement. Financial Planner said one could probably be comfortable with half of that assuming they had it invested well and controlled spending/some budgeting. However we are in a state with low property taxes and generally low taxes.
We are truly empty nesters - both DDs are self supporting and have their own health insurance, etc. They have no school debt. They are good at budgeting, live within their means, and seem to have things figured out. DD2 had a semester long course in HS that turns out was Dave Ramsey’s course for HS students (they had a work book and watched videos, along with teacher guidance.) DD1 came about with budgeting more naturally.
I do continue to pay on term insurance (we do have cash value insurance as well), and our excellent LTC insurance policies.
W/O LTC insurance, that puts an additional risk on retirement funds.
Fidelity had calculated an amount for average couples retiring today (at age 65) will need $280,000 to cover health care and medical costs in retirement (April 19, 2018 article). They assume lifespans of 87 for man and 89 for the woman. It excludes the cost of long-term care. It also excludes most dental work. If younger, need to plug in higher costs. And of course where you live, your gender and your health conditions all have an impact.