<p>I'm a little surprised by some of the results given to me by parchment.com-- it's an online chancing service. It claims to be anywhere between 70 - 80% accurate, but I wanted to be sure with you lovely CC folks. I've gotten some really positive chances but I don't think I can trust them-- I mean, over 50% chance at Yale? I figure I have grounds to be sceptical... </p>
<p>Parchment’s guesses are usually off by alot. They take their past students who get accepted (or say they have) and compare their stats to yours. It doesn’t really mean anything and Ivy admissions are bizarre anyways.</p>
<p>As for everyone else-- thank you for the input! Figured it was a little too good to be true. It does just irk me a little that a college counsellor at my school would suggest it in the first place, but there you go. Answers. :)</p>
<p>It depends what school of thought you belong. Generally I agree with the school that says greater numbers and stats increase chances of getting in. You only need look at silver turtles guide or books like “early admissions game” to see this is true. Thus parchment does give just about the best prediction out there. The variability there is caused by outstanding/abysmal essays or outstanding/abysmal ecs.</p>
<p>It knows as much as any of us. That’s the jist of it. They can’t take into account race, gender, essay quality, general fit to the school and the nature of the application round. Too many variables to take into account.</p>
<p>My first boss once told me that if a client ever asks your opinion on the likelihood of something, you can say whatever you want so long as it’s not 0% and not 100%. This way, you’ll never be wrong. </p>