I missed my TAG gpa.....

So…
After my Fall grade, Im standing at 3.189. Which doesnt meet the requirement for UCSB tag.
Now, I will have to continue as a regular applicant.

My question is what are my chances if I continue as a regular applicant with this gpa?
My TAG major is mathematical science to UCSB.
Im done with IGETC, and will finish pre req in spring.
No EC, but did intern in a computer company last summer since Im originally a computer science major.

I also applied to Davis, Irvine and thinking Riverside as backup. Would like to hear my chances on those too.

Thank you!!