<p>More EC (more volunteering and clubs) + great essay + amazing recs + good grades for the first semester + apply early = good chance to get in (no one can tell for sure) but you have a good chance with what I said</p>
<p>If you are instate, you have an excellent chance. OOS, a good chance. I would never say you’d have a poor chance. Remember to apply as early as possible.</p>
<p>^ I would caution the OP to first calculate their UMichigan GPA (A+/- = 4.0, B+/- = 3.0, etc, and remove freshmen year from the equation) before accepting the validity of all these chances.</p>
<p>If you are in-state and your UMich GPA is around a 3.8 or above, I would say you have an excellent chance. But if you have a downward grade trend and a UMich GPA of a 3.7 then it’s more of a good/average chance.</p>
<p>OOS you have a good chance with a 3.8+, average chance with a 3.7, poor chance with anything below a 3.3 recalculated.</p>
<p>Hope this helps, and good luck in your endeavors!</p>