2019 Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.80-4.19 capped weighted and not major specific:
UCI: 35%
2019 UC capped weighted GPA averages along with 25th-75th percentile range:
UCI: 4.13 (4.00-4.25)
2019 Data:
25th - 75th percentiles for SAT totals:
UCI: 1250-1510
Based on your stats, you look competitive but UC admissions is just more than stats and the rest of your application is subjective so there is no way to quantify your chances as seen by your results.
All you can do at this point is hope for the best and reevaluate once you have all results. UCR and UCSC are very good options and CS is a marketable major so where you go for Undergrad will not hinder your job opportunities.
normally, UCI, UCD and UCSB have pretty comparable thresholds. So, your Davis wait-list and SB rejection would suggest UCI is somewhat unlikely. That said, each campus evaluates aps independently and there’s some subjectivity to the process so, you won’t really know until they get back to you.
In the interim, you should open your mind to the other colleges that have accepted you. UCSC in particular has an outstanding CS program and its grads are heavily recruited by tech companies over the hill in Silicon Valley.
software engineering and cs are both very competitive – the chances of SE are marginally higher than CS but gpa and SAT are a tad low for such competitive majors.
I’ve been accepted to Irvine, Santa Barbara, and SD for CS – Irvine early notification scholarship, but still got waitlisted at Davis. I wouldn’t worry too much about ur past results. after all, each UC is unpredictable and has their own metrics. good luck!!!