Financial considerations aside, ED can be a strategy for increasing the odds of admission at highly selective colleges. You need to do a hard, realistic assessment of where your child ranks compared to recently admitted students. You can search for the “Common Data Set” for colleges of interest and get very detailed data for each year’s applicants and admitted students.
At our D’s top choice college (where she applied ED and was admitted), the first-time applicant admission rate for ED applicants that year was 41.1 percent and the overall first-time applicant admission rate was 31.1 percent (which included RD and ED–the college didn’t offer EA when she applied, but does now).
If your child is in the middle of the pack, or less academically, unless he/she brings something else the college is really looking for, such as geographic or ethnic diversity, he/she might not be accepted EA or RD, but might have a better chance during the ED cycle because the ED commitment is the one of the ultimate ways to demonstrate interest and enthusiasm for the college.
The downside, of course, is that if your student is in this situation, the applicant will probably not qualify for merit aid, which we found is quite limited at highly selective colleges anyway.
If the student is assessed to be in the top tier academically at several colleges under consideration, and if they offer merit as well as need-based aid, it may be a better strategy to apply EA or RD and compare financial aid offers, especially if cost is a major issue, as it is for most families.
Our D is currently a college junior, is doing well, and does not regret her choice at all. We did do a campus visit early in her senior year of high school, and recommend that highly to those considering applying ED.
Her college guarantees to meet 100 percent of demonstrated need (according to their formula), and although our D is eligible and receives some institutional need-based aid, it still involves a considerable financial sacrifice on the part of our family to pay for her higher education.
The NPCs weren’t that accurate for our family’s situation. They are a useful tool, but not binding. Our D received an estimate of eligibility for need-based aid with her ED admission package. After we completed her CSS PROFILE and IDOC tax forms (before they switched to the prior-prior year system for financial aid determination), her institutional grant aid eligibility actually increased by 22 percent. Now with FAFSA, CSS Profile, and IDOC available online earlier, hopefully ED and other applicants offered admission will receive a more accurate estimate of need-based aid with their admission letters.
It was a huge relief to our family to receive her ED admission offer before Christmas of her senior year in high school. We consider ourselves quite fortunate. She may have received better financial aid packages from other colleges, but her college choice is a good “fit” for her overall. Each family’s circumstances and priorities are different.