Agree - I think as it gets closer and students are learning that they may be back on campus but still online and without campus events it isn’t what they want to invest in. There is no amount of “quality” instruction online that gets students excited about sitting in front of a screen for school.
The only thing is - I think spring semester could be worse than fall. Do people really think the entire country will be vaccinated by January? They have always said 12-18 months would be the fastest vaccine a couple possibly be here.