Incoming Class is Huge, Both Literally and Figuratively

http://tuadmissionjeff.blogspot.com/2016/05/2020.html

But here are the highlights with some of my thoughts added.

[list]
[li]Class is 80-100 students bigger than previous class, yield was up. I take that to mean on the lower end the class will be 1800 students. Plenty of dorm space thanks to Greenbaum.[/li]
[li]No wait list admits, obviously.[/li]
[li]A highly significant 20 point increase in the average SAT (and that is using the 1600 point scale!), and I assume the ACT will at least stay at the 30-33 25/75% stat. Might even tighten up at 31-33, we will see.[/li]
[li]A little more diversity, with students of color increasing, and internationals increasing from 26 to 52 to 79 over 3 classes. Hard to tell what this all means as a percentage until the final numbers are in.[/li]
[*]The usual states are most represented: NY, La, Cal, NJ, MA, and IL. Chicago high schools (northern suburbs) continue to be big feeder schools.

I wonder what the acceptance rate will be ?

Hmmm, let’s see if we can estimate.

Let’s say 35,000 apps. I am guessing that the 1800 students attending represents a yield of 20%, which is high for Tulane. That would mean they accepted 9000, so that is an acceptance rate of 26% (silly to put a decimal point there since my assumptions are so crude). That is pretty normal for Tulane these days.

What is interesting to just play with is if they could have assumed a yield of 20%, what was their target enrollment and therefore what acceptance rate would have hit it. If the target was 1600, which is a bigger target than it was just a couple of years ago, then they would have had to have accepted 8,000 or 23%.

Yale is going to be looking at something like this now, but in reverse. They are wanting to increase their class size by quite a bit, so their ultra-low acceptance rate of 6% or so is going to have to go up, unless they can really kick up the number of apps. Tulane obviously did not plan on increasing the class size this much, so depending on their new target presumably they will go the other way and be more selective this next cycle. Wonder of that is part of the reason to go ahead and pull the trigger on ED?

thanks fallen…I just posted the link to the Tulane Parents FB page!

Thanks fallen, that is interesting, I figured the admission rate would have dropped since applications were up and the rankings were up. I know this is anecdotal, but in my daughter’s graduating class, we know of 3 boys that applied to Tulane and one other girl . One of the boys was rejected, two were waitlisted and then also rejected , and the one other girl was accepted. The girl that was accepted is going to a different school. Two of the boys were really disappointed to be rejected as Tulane was their top choice. They both had near 4.0 unweighted gpa’s and 33 and 34 ACT’s. Having only been through the admissions process once, knowing these kids, I thought Tulane’s acceptance rate would be a lot lower this year. Really relieved my daughter somehow made the cut. She attends a very competitive small school public with only 60 kids per class so they all know everything about each other. My daughter is excited about going to Tulane. Tulane seems huge to her after such a small high school.

Well, keep in mind that the above is triggered by the statement I think Jeff in admissions made, but might have been somewhere else, that applications were up about 30%. Last year they were around 27,000 if I remember my other post correctly, so that is 35,000. The 1800 is based on his blog that said students were up 80-100 this year, and last year I think the freshman class was 1720, so I used the nice round number. So this is just having fun with numbers on a bar napkin stuff. The true numbers will be revealed in the fall.

That is a shame about those boys. If they had been applying this year and were brave enough, they could have applied ED and maybe things would have been different. Hard to know.

We may have my son apply ED to help his chances. Hopefully, having a big sister at Tulane will help him a bit, too.

One of the rejected males is really bummed because he ended up at the University of Tennessee, Knoxville He sort of joked he could have studied a lot less and taken a much lighter schedule and still gone to UT. The other kid is going to Alabama. He really wanted to get into the Altman program, but that’s the way it goes. I’m sure they will end up happy at both places. Thanks

From the Tulane web site regarding move-in day this Friday:

According to Tulane, the target class size for the near future is around 1720. There will continue to be an emphasis on greater race diversification and an increased international presence.

There were many issues with housing - forced 3 people rooms in historically 2 people rooms so I wonder if they will consider this next year when they offer admissions or if this will make them be “more selective”? Seems they had more people accept then they were expecting and it caused some issues for housing and class selections.

@dbcbs5

Interestingly (or not) the same thing happened my freshman year in 1973. I was tripled up for a couple of days until they figured out who didn’t show up at all (summer melt). I was then in Monroe in a normal situation. Didn’t affect class selections for me that I was aware of, but of course class selection was stone age then. Students would think it was a Saturday Night Live skit or something if they saw the ballrooms or gyms full of tables where people would go and get punch cards or entry forms for each class.

Tulane was at about 100 over target, so I am sure there will be adjustments. Also might be another reason ED was introduced this year. Tulane is hot, which is great, but not so much when you are in that situation right away freshman year. I guess it all worked out though?