<p>My mistake, CloudyCloud – I had taken the number of applications and divided into number of enrolled students from the UMich admissions website, which nets 31%. However, I should have divided into the accepted rate.
In that case, the odds would be about the same, but still not “easier” than regular freshman admissions.
The significant point is or should be that it is not necessarily “easier” to apply as a transfer than as a freshman, although anecdotal citations of this abound. Cheers, K</p>