<p>The odds would appear to be against you, but as MITChris says - the only way to have a 0% chance is not to apply.</p>
<p>Our school’s Naviance plot confirms that MIT looks at more than test scores. While in general, the kids with the higher test scores and better grades tended to get in while those with lower scores and poorer grades tended to get declined, there was a kid with a 4.0 GPA and 36 ACT who didn’t make it (and a bunch of 3.8+ GPAs and 35 ACTs who didn’t either), and kids with ACTs as low as 32 or GPAs as low as 3.3 (not the same kid) who did. (Cue the standard CC parent refrain, “Oh but they were surely URMs.”) Our school does have significant grade deflation, however, and MIT sees about 35-45 applicants a year so is presumably aware of this.</p>