@HappyAlumnus: I can see that 80+% of folks who have an LSAT of 173 or higher and GPA of 3.7 or higher get in to HLS, and of those who aren’t admitted, almost none are outright denied; most are waitlisted. So sure, “other things” may matter, but they don’t seem to matter that much.
And yes, getting above those thresholds “will at best increase the odds of getting in”. You neglected to mention: “by a lot”.
So yes, I wasn’t as careful about how I originally phrased what I said as I should have been. Instead of saying that getting above the median LSAT and GPA is almost certain to get you either an acceptance or on the waitlist at HLS these days, I should have said getting an LSAT of 173 and GPA of 3.7 (or LSAT of 174 and GPA or 3.6) and higher is almost certain to get you either an acceptance or on the waitlist at HLS these days.
And sure, 80+% is not a sure shot, but you also don’t need to be Einstein to achieve the levels I mentioned.
Finally, as you can see by that scatterplot, GPA just isn’t as big a differentiator as LSAT. It’s pretty clear that a high LSAT score is more highly valued than a high GPA these days.