<p>Sax-
It is quite realistic. The rough rule of thumb on instruments (excluding non orchestral instruments like Piano, Organ and so forth) is that they admit students based on needs for their orchestra(s). Take a look at a typical orchestra, and how many flutes do they have? How many Clarinets? How many bassons, etc, etcâŠin a typical orchestra there are very few of most of those instruments, one or two trombones, one tuba, etc, etcâŠnow most school music programs have multiple ensembles, so if they have letâs say 4 orchestras, that might be 8 or 10 flutes, totalâŠand that could cover graduate and undergraduate. If the school has wind ensembles, on the other hand, the number I would guess could be potentially higher, since in a wind ensemble flutes and clarinets are part of the replacement for the violins and such in an orchestra. If you look at the schoolâs website, it will give you an idea of numbers based on how many performing groups they have; my impression of IU is it had a fairly large number of performing groups and that matches, since IU tends to admit more then other comparable programs; Juilliard, on the other hand, has relatively few groups so they tend to admit smaller numbers(I know for a fact that Juilliard last year admitted 1 flute, and that was between grad and undergradâŠ).A typical orchestra, on the other hand, might have 60 strings or more out of 100âŠ(on the other hand, from what I know, the number of people auditioning on strings tends to be a huge number comparitively, so the admit rate is still rough)</p>
<p>Put it this way, there are all kinds of theories about music school admits, about how if you do X summer programs it will increase your chances of getting in, if you win Z competition you will be a shoe in, if you bring a bottle of 15 year old scotch to a private lesson with D it will get you a favorable chance, etcâŠ(last one said in gest, if you are serious about getting in, aged cognac alone will do <em>lol</em>). Seriously, auditions in performance are about preparing the audition pieces at the highest level possible, and after that while there are things you can do, like hopefully get a teacher you want to work with to notice you and hopefully put down they want to teach you, things like making sure your audition rep is at audition level 6 months before, that may improve chances in some way, there is just no way to quantify it, for the reasons people have mentioned.</p>
<p>Yes, it is useful to know if you are a flautist that Juilliard that year is admitting only 1 student, to make sure that you have alternates at the ready, but that is good practice anyway. It is better to apply to a number of schools you feel you have a chance at making (at differing levels) and working it from that angle, rather then looking for programs with high admit rates (reputedly) and basing a strategy on that IMO. It also would be smart to ask the schools you are thinking of admitting about whether, for example, if you are trying to go in for Music Ed, if the instrument you play matters in terms of the admit decision (for example, if you send IU an e-mail and say you plan on applying in Music Ed and your primary instrument is the sax and wonder if that has any impact on admissions, and they reply âEEK, not another sax Music Ed majorâ, you will know (<em>lol</em>), or if they say âmusic ed is by how well you play and not what you playâ, then you have your answer. </p>
<p>I also again will add that if you are talking music ed versus performance the numbers are probably much, much higher I would guess for an individual instrument (I could be wrong on that), since the emphasis is on educationâŠbut that one you would need to find someone more knowledgeable then I about admissions.</p>