@obligatoryname I dunno your list makes me nervous. A weighted 3.4 for an out of state applicant is a tough call. You first group of private schools are tough too.
You need more certainty either with some NJ state schools or replace the publics you have with similar grade privates like Providence, Siena, Muhlenberg, Gettysburg maybe, Scranton, Clark, Syracuse. etc.
You said you are interested in politics, so look at St. Anselm, which has the New Hampshire Institute of Politics. It is highly respected in political circles.