Likelihood of NMSF?

Hi guys!

Hope all is well. I just got my PSAT score back → 1490 and its index → 223. I live in New York so would this be enough for NMSF next year? I looked up the selection index predictions but is 223 a pretty safe margin?

Congrats on a great score. Looks likely to be NMSF according to Compass test prep estimates: National Merit Semifinalist Cutoffs Class of 2024

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Only time any state’s cutoff has been above 223: Maryland, one time, in a very weird COVID year with gobs of alternate entries. Never say never, but a 223 is looking good.

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223 is a great SI and is typically enough for any state (except as noted one time in the above post). While nothing is guaranteed, you should be fine.