No one can say. They are reaches. The usual recommendation is to apply to 2-3 reaches, 3-4 matches, and a couple of safeties. Spend more time looking for matches and safeties – you are much more likely to end up at one of them, and you will have a miserable April if you don’t take the time to really find ones you like. There is no short cut into top schools, especially for unhooked applicants. But you can get a fine education at hundreds of schools.