Math/Statistics PHD Application Help (Will I be Accepted)

Hello, I am a student at a low-ranked college in New York State actively pursuing a bachelors (BA) in Math in my junior year. I have a 3.7 GPA overall and a 3.73 in Math. I am looking to apply to PHD programs next year in Statistics or in Math programs with a concentration in statistics. What are my chances of getting into a good program?

My current Course History and background

A.P. Credit for Calculus 1 and 2

A in Calculus 3

C in Linear Algebra (not really reflective of my ability and might bring me down)

A in Abstract Algebra

A in Real Analysis

A in Discrete Mathematics

A in Partial Differential Equations

A in Statistical Inference Theory

In progress (Honors seminar, Probability, independent study)

I am currently also working on a project in Statistical analysis with a professor (independent study), and tutored middle school students at a charter School for a year

My top choices

Rutgers

UCONN

Columbia

NYU

Stoney Brook University (SUNY)
University at Buffalo (SUNY)

Univerity of New Mexico (is this program good?)

What are my chances of acceptance?

Can someone please also tell me if U New Mexico is even any good before I apply even though I love the area?

Undergrad preparation in math has a wide variability in rigor depending on the strength of the individual department’s faculty and students. Have you applied for any REU’s? Columbia, NYU and Rutgers are known to be difficult to get into. SBU is a tough program once you enter. Remember that you are competing with top students across the country and around the world from well ranked universities. And then there is the issue of whether the rigor of your undergrad prep is enough for the top tier math departments, in case you do get accepted.

I am a math professor teaching at a regional university. You can PM me for more details. Also, what kind of advice are your department faculty members giving you?