May 2012 Curve Predictions

Test Preparation SAT Preparation
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<p>What are your predictions for the May 2012 SAT curve? I myself thought that writing was extremely easy, CR was somewhat easy, and Math was pretty straightforward with a couple tricky ones.</p>

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<p>Reading and math will have bad curves, writing will be a little more generous</p>

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<p>^
Agree. I found the writing very easy, but actually more difficult than the two others I have takes. Math was a joke and CR was pleasant. The vocab in CR was annoying, I left two blank and guessed on one.</p>

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<p>I don’t think any section will have a generous curve, they were all pretty simple</p>

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<p>It’s May. Almost all kids are taking it, whereas the earlier months it is mostly high achieving students. May always has a good curve, and is easy.</p>

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<p>@wafflestomp (and others)</p>

<p>The “curve” is actually not a curve. While the scoring standard is set after the test is taken, the raw scores of the group of test takers on that day is not a factor in the curve.</p>

<p>The so-called curve does have to do with the difficulty of the test, but May is not easy because “the high achieving students take it in the earlier months”. I think this curve will be pretty unforgiving, actually.</p>

<p>The “stupid people take it X month, thus it is easier then” belief is a total myth.</p>

<p>Read more:
[PWN</a> the SAT: Is the SAT graded on a curve?](<a href=“http://blog.■■■■■■■■■■■■■/2011/02/is-sat-graded-on-curve.html]PWN”>http://blog.■■■■■■■■■■■■■/2011/02/is-sat-graded-on-curve.html)</p>

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<p>But the point is they set the curve like that with that in mind. There’s no understandable way why May is always easy yet has a relatively nice curve always too other than that.</p>

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<p>@waffle I hope you’re right…</p>

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<p>What are you basing the assumption that May is always easy off of? Who takes the test has nothing to do with how it is curved, end of story.</p>

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<p>Both you and the link you gave aren’t actually saying anything. You are just saying that we are wrong but you don’t say what is correct.</p>

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<p>It’s on the college board website…</p>

<p>[SAT</a> Reasoning Test - Scores & Reporting](<a href=“http://professionals.collegeboard.com/testing/sat-reasoning/scores/reports]SAT”>Your SAT Score Report Explained – SAT Suite | College Board)</p>

<p>“Equating also ensures that a student’s score does not depend on how well others did on the same edition of the test.”</p>

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<p>The march test seemed easier to be honest, but I missed just 5 in math and got a 690. Is that considered a harsh curve?</p>

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<p>what would be my score if i missed 3 on math?</p>

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<p>If you really want to dig into the historical data, Erik The Red has compiled the scoring tables for all the QAS test dates through 2011 and color coded them based on how harsh they are.</p>

<p><a href=“http://www.erikthered.com/tutor/SAT-Released-Test-Curves.pdf[/url]”>http://www.erikthered.com/tutor/SAT-Released-Test-Curves.pdf&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

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<p>Any predictions for -1 on the math?? (as in 52.75 raw) Any chance it’ll still be 800?</p>

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<p>@HSClass2013 I got -1 on the math for January test and I got a 760 (*** right?), but I thought this one was harder so hopefully a -1 will be a 780</p>

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<p>harsh! i found this <a href=“http://www.erikthered.com/tutor/SAT-Released-Test-Curves.pdf[/url]”>http://www.erikthered.com/tutor/SAT-Released-Test-Curves.pdf&lt;/a&gt; and apparantly the lowest -1 has been in may is 780, so fingers crossed!</p>

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<p>I don’t want to sound contentious, but I think that it is really pointless trying to predict curves. I went through the SAT and understand the urge to do so, but seriously. Curves are absolutely unpredictable and they’re really something that you can’t control. The SAT is over, so don’t worry about what you can’t control; chill out for the next three weeks.</p>

<p>Also, I feel that looking at past historical trends to try and “predict” future curves has a very crystal-ball-ishness attached; it’s all just guess work. When someone gets around to doing a chi-square/hypothesis test or any other stats test that proves curves are predictable, please inform me. Otherwise, just chill.</p>

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<p>The point of looking at historical data is not to make predictions. It’s to disprove myths like “May is easier.” Should have clarified that when I posted.</p>

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</p>

<p>I understand that, and I actually have looked at eriktheread’s doc for that purpose several times in the past. My post wasn’t directed against your post but rather against the whole idea that SAT curves could somehow be predicted.</p>