I had the same question regarding your residency. UCs are very expensive and aid is limited for OOS students. As an East Coaster, I don’t know much about in-state aid.
You are fully qualified for any school on your list. AND most fully qualified applicants will be denied admission at most of them. It’s just supply and demand. An example: we visited a tip-top LAC. They said 70% of applicants were fully qualified, and they thought they would succeed academically and otherwise at the school. It accepted 14% of applicants. So 4 in 5 applicants that the school thought fully qualified could not be accommodated. Duke, Vandy, etc. are lower than 14% in RD. You are a reasonable applicant at all of them, just tough numbers.
So I think making sure you have a safety that is affordable is important. Someone wrote that USD only meets 71% of need. Great school; I assume you’d likely be admitted; but it might not be affordable in the end. Tulane has gotten much more competitive in recent years, and I’d be inclined to put it in the reach category in RD for almost everyone.
It’s great you have 3 UCs on your list. They seem like great bets. Could you add one, not Berkeley, to be sure you have an in-state option? Quest
You’d be a tremendous applicant at so many schools. Where can you get enough aid? I like the Mount Holyoke idea. Here is a link to info on the Five College Consortium. Also one for Wellesley, which has a stunning campus in a near-in suburb of Boston. Students can take classes at MIT, and students often socialize with MIT/Harvard students. W does claim to meet full financial need.
http://www.wellesley.edu/sfs/understandaid
Holy Cross has outstanding academics, including in your areas of interest, and claims to meet full financial need. What if you run the NPC for MH, W, and HC. W might still be low reach, but the other two would probably be matches, given your strong academic record. Good luck!