My Carleton Chances?

Context: I’m a rising high school senior who plans to apply over the summer.
Academics:
GPA - 4.44 (Weighted) and 4.0 (Unweighted)
SAT - 1430 on the MC with a 21 on the essay (Superscored)

AP Classes (Some I’m taking senior year):
-Government, U.S. History, World History, European History, Human Geography
-Physics, Calculus AB/BC, Prob & Stat
-Language & Comp, Literature & Comp

Extracurriculars:
-Founding member of school’s mock trial team
-Physics Olympics team
-Marching Band; section leader.
-Debate Team
-Volleyball (Freshman year only)
-Academic Challenge team; team captain
-Rho Kappa Society
-Pit orchestra

Volunteer Work:
-I spent the past two summers working at a local summer camp for children.
-Spent three summers before that volunteering at a local library.
Service hour total: 410

Honors:
-Made school Straight-A Honor Roll for all semesters.
-Carson Scholar Nominee
-National Merit Commended Student

Other (Not sure if this will help):
-My intended major is Physics & Astronomy (I want to be an Astrophysicist).
-I am female, and live on the East Coast in an extremely rural area. (For context, my high school is called Cornfield High regularly.)
-I’ve played the piano for eleven years and counting.
-I’ve attended a master class at Johns Hopkins recently on molecular physics.
-I plan to apply Regular Decision to Carleton.
Thank you in advance for your honesty, and any help anyone can provide!

I think that you have a good, solid chance. Your math score on your SAT is in the middle 50% but still a little on the low side, but you have good exrtacurriculars and a nice GPA. I think demonstrating interest would be beneficial for you. Will you be able to visit campus and have a campus interview?

Sorry for the late reply, but I’m planning to visit in the fall on an overnight trip. Don’t know about my chances of a formal individual interview, but I’ll get a chance to tour the campus, and talk with admissions officers.
Thanks for the help!

You’re welcome. Good luck. If you have any questions, there are a lot of helpful people here, though it’s a little slower since it’s the summer. Also, I will try to answer any questions that you may have.