My CAS chances

Hi guys, first time posting. I just wanted to know what my chances might be. I’m an international student, in a notoriously difficult high school equivalent program (no, not China) applying for the NY campus of NYU. Because the program is so difficult, i’m sure my “GPA” is terrible (we don’t have anything as such as a GPA, per se) but barely scraping through all of my classes (as almost everybody else taking the program also is).

However —
SATs: 1530
Extracurriculars:

  • Debate (Competition team, holding two leadership positions simultaneously on the executive board, one of which was Vice President)
  • I also write competitively, and have garnered some praise and a couple awards for it. I’ve included a link to three samples of my work for application committees to peruse.

AND I think my admissions essay should be okay, based on my reckoning of it. Applied for PolSci, the school courses that i’m Doing trash in have NOTHING to do with my intended major. What are my chances?