My chances for Tisch Undergraduate Film?

This might be the complete wrong place to post this (I don’t know how forums work / I’m in the middle of college apps), but I was hoping someone might help me out in determining: A) Whether to apply to NYU ED II or RD, and B) What are my chances.

New SAT: 1470

ACT: 33 individual (35 superscored - 36 Writing, 35 English, 35 Math, 34 Science)

Class Rank: N/A

GPA: Weighted: 4.2, Unweighted: 3.5

Classes taken:
Sophomore Year: AP Computer Science A (taken on JHU’s CTY program, 3 on the AP Exam :confused: )
Junior Year: AP Lang, AP US History (5s on these exams), Honors PreCalculus, Honors Biology, Spanish 4
Senior Year: AP Literature, AP Psychology, AP Physics, AP Calculus AB, Spanish 5

EC’s:
-Speech and Debate (3 years) Team Liaison, local winner, national competitor
-National Honors Society, National English Honors Society (Secretary)
-Published a short fantasy novel on Amazon written when I was 13 (not great but hey I did it)
-Main Cast + Ensemble Cast in Theater (3 years, It’s a Wonderful Life, Urinetown, H2S in Business)
-Cable Television Host/Interviewer on a few occasions
-Videographer for local Asian-American cultural festivals
-One time photographer for Zensar Technologies on a company cruise

CS:
-NHS, Teaching at the local middle school’s summer school program, working with middle school kids weekly (total just over 100 hours)

Letters of Rec: Guidance counselor, English Teacher junior year, TV Production Teacher

Essays: I’m a fairly strong writer so I’m fairly confident that those are solid.

My creative submission is the following short film I made (first one ever): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IPRUjYaG_Cs
(If anyone wants to give it a watch it’s 4:30)

The money is a big issue, so I’m unsure of doing ED II or RD, because obviously ED improves my chances somewhat but I’m committed (it’s also likely I will not be able to pay so I think I’ll be able to back out). Thanks!!