<p>First off, the longshot schools are longshots for anyone, even students with a “perfect” profile, (e.g. Brown has a 8-9% admit rate, if you find a 1 in 12 chance a good one, well more power to you. The other Ivies, Duke and Georgetown aren’t too much better).</p>
<p>As for Michigan, normally I’d agree that superjew’s stats would make it a match, but this year has seen a substantial jump in apps to Michigan and all state universities, primarily from in-state residents. I live in an Ann Arbor and rumors abound of fewer slots for out-of-state students and the 50th%-tile being around 3.7/2200. If he were in state, I’d say superjew was in, OOS makes it tougher.</p>
<p>Again, all of us are speculating. It wouldn’t shock me if sj got into all the longshots and the reaches; it also wouldn’t surprise me if he got shut out at all of them. His stats are good enough to get him into the pool, but his 3.5 is something that can’t be easily dismissed. IMHO.</p>