<p>The sticker shock is huge, especially at the top level private conservatories, and from what I can tell most of them are using need based formulas in determining aid,several of the top conservatories state that they don’t do non need based merit aid, including Juilliard. One of the ways they are handling this is with the influx of students from Korea and China, many of whom are from well off families (not all, obviously), who will pay full freight. On the violin, it is often Korean young women from well off families, with China it can be either.</p>
<p>The irony is with classical music the cost of getting a kid into a high level program, let alone paying for it, is soaring, the cost of private lessons, the cost of the music festivals and instruments and such, is not small, and then when you reach conservatory, massive sticker shock. If you are a string player, the prices of instruments are through the roof, on violin a violin in the 20k range is considered “modest”, new violins from unknown makers are in that range (we are going through the process) and at the level kids are entering conservatory at, finding an instrument that matches that level at that price is not easy (it is different for other instruments, last I checked a high end buffet clarinet was about 5k). </p>
<p>Currently people are willing to pay the freight to get into these programs , in large part because the typical level of student there is high as compared to the better priced alternatives (in large part because the big schools, like Juilliard, have name recognition), go into debt, and so forth, but I think what will happen is students and their families simply will go for the better priced alternatives, raising the level of playing there, and the current top level schools will be left with either well off kids who can pay the freight (increasingly upper class foreign students) or maybe someone from really low incomes or from underrepresented groups (for example, Aftican American or Hispanic students). </p>
<p>There was an article about that, with academic schools like NYU that are known for large tuition but give aid, and in the end, it hurts everyone other then those who can pay full freight, that for the less well off students, the aid still leaves their family with a bill they cannot pay, and for people in middle or upper middle incomes no aid with a huge bill they prob cannot afford. I think the same thing is going to happen with music, they are going to find that eventually the cost of going isn’t worth it, especially given how fraught a career in classical music is.</p>